Republicans gaining on Democrats: The Swamp
 
The Swamp
-
Posted August 23, 2006 9:30 AM
The Swamp

Posted by Mark Silva at 9:30 am CDT

The same Gallup Poll that finds President Bush gaining some ground in public approval recently – buoyed by support for his handling of terrorism – finds Republican candidates gaining some generic ground in their contests with Democrats this fall.

In the periodic matchup of unnamed Democrats versus unnamed Republicans in opinion polling, Democrats have held a substantial advantage heading into fall elections in which the two parties are fighting for control of the U.S. House and Senate. But the latest Gallup survey finds that the Democratic advantage has narrowed to a statistical tie.



Asked, if the congressional elections were held today, whether they would vote for a Democrat or Republican, 47 percent of those surveyed by Gallup said a Democrat and 45 percent said a Republican. The results of that Aug. 18-20 survey are much closer than a 9-point advantage that Democrats held in such a matchup earlier this month and the 10-point lead that Democrats held in three surveys run in July and August.

“It also represents the Republicans' best performance in a single poll during this election cycle on this important measure of electoral strength,’’ according to the Gallup report of the poll published by USA Today.

The same poll had found the president’s approval rating increasing to 42 percent, the first time that he had surpassed 40 percent since February.

Both Bush’s gain, and the narrowing of the Democratic advantage in congressional contests “may be tied to a min-surge in public approval of the way Bush is handling terorism in the wake of recent news about a foiled terrorist plot to blow up several airplanes headed for the United States,’’ Gallup reports.

The approval rating for the president’s handling of terrorism -- typically his best issue in polls -- increased by eight percentage points since July – while his ratings on the range of other issues such as his handling of the economy remained unchanged.

In the field of polling, with possible margins of error, Gallup cautions that the Democratic loss of 3 percentage points in support from its previous survey on Aug. 7-10 and the Republican gain of 4 points from that previous poll are not statistically significant. But the overall spread, when compared with earlier polls this summer, is significant.

The survey was based on 1,001 interviews of adults conducted Aug. 18-20, and the results carry a possible margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Digg Delicious Facebook Fark Google Newsvine Reddit Yahoo

Comments

Alright, two for two! This is about the time the annual democrat collapse begins every four years. The wheels should fall off sometime in late October.


What was that sound? Was it Jack, John E., OHCD, Etheryang, Raving Loon and the rest of the Loony Tune Leftist gang all hitting their wooden heads upon falling on the floor? What a beautiful day today is!!


The trib is obviously run by right wing kooks.Where did you take that poll,in Alabama?

All you guys do is list polls showing the right wing nuts winning.Why no polls for the left.

This guy Silva,he must have money on the wing nuts.

Does that sound like anybody you might know"Slurppy Boy".


This poll was taken by the Gallup organization, the oldest, most trusted polling firm in the nation. I love how posters are now calling reporters like Frank James and Mark Silva right-wing nuts because they ran a poll from Gallup!

Yeah, those guys sure are a bunch of righties (guffaw).


Actually Bill, I think Raving Loon was trying to be funny, saracastic and all that fun stuff. If anything, though, it actually shows just how desperate, troubled and lost folks like Raving Loons are.


John D,

I'm glad at least one entry here makes your day. You're obviously one of those folks who deals well with the messenger, but not the message.

But in all honesty, isn't it pathetic how a jump in the polls can make move you into a joyous display like that? I don't think I'll have that kind of joy until our service people are out of harm's way and this nation is once again secure. I guess we all have our priorities.


So does this mean that impeachment will need to wait?


Well...I expected to see the exuberant cries from the faithful right. It is ashame that terror is the one issue left for the right. It's so easy to play on the fears of people and manipulate that into votes. All you have to do is say a few Al-qaeda type words and say that if the democrats get into power the terrorists win and you got em.

If you really look at it though..you would see that we have never been weaker in the Mid-East. They still cling to this "front line of terror" crap, when you should know that Islamic radicals are a movement, not a state run terror.

Time will tell...in the mean time...you guys go ahead and relish this...Fear is on your side.


Okay, Bill R., that last post makes no sense. Because Islamic radicals are a movement we're not supposed to fight them? Is that what you're saying?

It's not fear that the GOP is playing off of, it's fighting back. When we've had two attacks on the WTC, the bombings in Nairobi and Tanzania, Khobar Towers, and the London terror plot, I'd say those fears of terrorism are real. The democrats don't believe this is the case and the GOP does.

If you think America should go back to not responding to these attacks and not aggressively pursuing and interdicting the leaders of the Islamic terrorist movement, then, by all means, vote democrat.


If you libs loved your country as much as you loved yourselves, our problems would be solved.


If you neo-cons love your country as much as you love winning elections and the perk that came with it, our problems would be solved.


Once again, Jack shows that the loony leftist world has not original thought, no ability to think for themselves, basically no ability but to collect that government check.


Bill...Islamc Radicals are a movement...they don't all live in Iraq. The terror plot (that you love to talk about) to blow up the planes came from radicals of Islam in England. The bombings in Africa came from Islamic radicals in Africa. The Bali bombings....you guessed it...came from bali. The "terrorists" that we are fighting in Iraq were insurgents at first untill it became clear to the Islamic terrorists
that it was open season on America since they were now over there.

I know we would love to keep our pride and "fight back" but unless you are ready to take on every country that are home to Islamic terrorists, we'll need to save a little more money and spend a lot of time because we don't have the resources to do it. What about Iran? we are so bogged down now in Iraq our options are
limited.

I may not know the way exactly to approach this problem..but wasting a fortune, and lives, in Iraq
will not produce the results you claim will come from this. I do think that actively persuing the leaders are probably they way..but you don't need to have 130,000 troops bogged down in Iraq to do that. Do you think that muslims are happy with this occupation? I think a few strategic strikes would make a lot more sense than the complete carnage that has taken place in Iraq.
If you want to discuss the England terror plot...
The suicide tapes claimed the reason for his decision to do this was because of the wests killing of muslims in the world. Where do you think he was talking about?


Jay...Great post..that really means huh...nothing


I wanted to toss my breakfast after reading this.
With terrorist groups growing at frightening speed, the neo-cons continue to ignore the bigger picture.
Counter-terrorism efforts around the globe have
been slowed or abandoned by this neo-con fixation
on Iraq, and the proliferation of these groups
should be no surprise to anyone.
Where is Osama bin Laden five years after 9/11?
Where are the leaders of the forty+ Islamic terrorist groups that operate outside of Iraq that intend to harm the U.S?
Wake up people!
We are LESS SAFE than five years ago - a direct result of the Presidents policies that have IGNORED the threat of Islamic terrorism outside of Iraq.


I'm amused that the Democratic faithful here are crying foul because the Republicans are using battling terror as an issue. I can only assume that they're jealous that the Republicans have at least that one issue while their party has none.

The Democratic party is simply irrelevant and has been for decades. They stand for nothing. They have no core principals save this one: to win and hold public office. In other words government for them is nothing more or less than their source of employment.

More than one sage has compared them to the Whigs of the mid 19th century. The comparison is apt.

THAT, my liberal friends, is what should be making you angry.


Juanito...No one is crying foul because the republicans are using battling terror as an issue,
it's because you don't have a clue how to go about it.

As far as the democratic party being irrelevent
that only shows your naive narrow mindedness. You obviously are very young or have gone through life with your eyes closed. I can say there have been great leaders on both sides of the aisle, you however show the exact thing that
I dislike in republicans...arrogance!


KKKarl Rove is working overtime getting the lie machine message out to the mental midgets like John D.
Enjoy TODAY,I still smell IMPEACHMENT,and WAR CRIMES trials coming around the corner.


All relative, isn't it folks?

CBS/NYT poll still shows Dems leading by 15%.

And lest we get the tired and predictable liberal media bias claptrap, I'll add that the Winston Group, a Republican polling firm, shows Dems with a 10% generic Senate advantage.


Juanito,
did you say sage?


One other thing Juanito....The headline said republicans gaining on democrats. To me that would
say that republicans are playing catch up. So
before you go and spend your "political capital"
you might want to think if this is such an easy
topic for people to decide on....why do so many people disagree?


The only statistics that will matter in November will be how many US troops have been killed or maimed in an Iraq war w/ no end in sight.


Jay, if you Neocon's loved your country more than you loved your money, maybe you would have voted with your hearts and minds and not with your wallet.

And Bill you're right, accept an annual collapse would have to happen annually. This happens about every four years (for the past decade at least) and it does appear the Dem's are not taking adavantage of all the GOP's mess ups, which there are many.

What you and every other GOP cheerleader will not accept or at least admit is that our govenrment function A LOT better when there's a balance of power, when all three banches lean the same way, problems occur. THERE'S A PROBLEM WHEN EVERYONE AGREES! We need discourse and compromise, something this Prez has never shown a willingness to do. The reason why Clinton was so effective was because he WORKED with the other party, what a novice idea.


Bill R., when are you running again? You've got all the answers, so let's hear them. The Dems made themselves irrelevant the minute they let themselves get hijacked by the far left.


Bill R., you too need to meet Etheryang.

Those terrorists who blew up the embassies in Africa were Al Qaeda. I think that is why Clinton sent a missile into an empty Al Qaeda training camp in Afghanistan. The Bali bombing also was done by Al Qaeda. Al Qaeda is everywhere and has been for years (even BEFORE Bush became president): in Africa, in Europe, in IRaq, in Iran, in Syria, in Egypt, in Morocco, in Russia, in the U.S. Islamonuts who join Al Qaeda are not doing because we are in Iraq (perhaps one reason, but not the only one). They join Al Qaeda because Islamonuts either bastardize the Islamic faith or expressing its true intent. Either way, no matter what the Western world does or non-Muslim world, they will continue to grow to make the world the way they want it.
So, you and your brethren can either help fight them, join them or stay out of the way.


Juanito,
Flag burning Amendement.
Protection of Marriage Amendment.
Faith-Based Initiatives.
School Prayer.
Ten Commandment Postings.
Soledad Cross Saving.
Embryonic Stem-Cell Funding Veto.
Terry Schiavo.
The unrelenting attempts to discredit the press.
(LEAKS came from within the administration- where is the outrage over that?)
The unrelenting attempts to discredit the judiciary.
These will not protect you from a bomb placed on your commuter train in the morning or a dirty bomb hidden under your seat at a football game.
Go ahead, cloak yourself with these obfuscating moral issues that Republicans dither away precious time and money with, and pray that they will protect you from the terrorists.
I'd prefer some effective global counter-terrorist efforts as my protection, thank you.


John D., you're a great American!! You and Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh should all go on vaca toghther...to some undisclosed location.
Don't forget the viagara.


I'll stick with the numbers from the Gallup organization. It has more of a track record of correct polling.


John D.

Are you talking about yourself again? Talk about original thinking, boy when I hear that your name just pops right out! "Ability to think for yourself" from you... I need to go wash my hands. Sometimes you almost sound like a normal human being, but other times responding to you can feel downright degrading.


Jay....I do have opinions that I will express because that is what I fought for in Vietnam. Unlike you who have little blasts of cynicism and no real point other than playing chearleader for the right. If you like...put the pom poms down for a minute and tell me one thing....How is a democracy in Iraq going to help against an Islamic movement??? And as far as getting hijacked...you might want to look out for the religious right.


JohnD...You only prove my point. They are everywhere. You can call them Al-qaeda, Islamic
radicals, what ever floats your boat. But what I hear you saying is this is a holy war...if that be the case why just Iraq?


JohnD,
You correctly point out that active Al-Qaeda cells across the globe are the foremost threat to the security of The United States.
Where is the O.B.L, leader of Al-Qaeda?
Nowhere to be found, but most likely in Pakistan,
our supposed ally.
Where is the rest of Al-Qaeda?
Dispersed around the globe, waiting to strike.
Where are the vast majority of our armed forces and their resources?
Iraq.


You know John D...you sound as crazy as those you see as that way. Join or get out the way. I've tried to discuss things with you but you know what"YOU ARE A FRUIT CAKE"


Jay,
I have the scientology membership info that you were asking me about ready for you.........Answer the phone Jay!!


Disheartening, but not unexpected. While I truly hope the Republicans are knocked out of power this November, the Democrats as they stand now are simply the lesser of two evils. The Democrats should have won the 2004 Presidential election easily but ran John Kerry, who in turn ran possibly the worst campaign in history. This all while the country was immersed in an unwinnable war that even at that time was very unpopular. Now we have the Democrats nearly split in two between the centrists and the left wings of the party leaving ordinary Americans confused. While I may know better and vote for the Democrst (again the lesser of two evils) many will go with the "devil you know" philosophy. Sad but predictable.



I have never trusted the polls that showed the Repubs or Bush as low as indicated.

Polls are soft with the potential for large shifts very quickly, and like it or not the RNC/Rove are masters at the political game, unlike the clumsy, slow footed Dems.

If the polls were right Al Gore would be prez.

Unfortunately, as I have said in this blog before, we may get 8 more years of Bush in 08, Jeb, that is.

Most of the undecided voters are scared. Sacred enough to believe anything. Scared enough to toss away their freedom. Scared enough to vote for Jeb.



Dean G.

I agree with your assessment of the Kerry campaign as weak. The Swifties attacked and attacked for a month before Kerry even put up his hands. By then he was viewed as questionable at best, and maybe a coward by a few percentage points of the voters. That's all they needed.
He should have called them out immediately, if not sooner.

I also remember Kerry saying he 'looked forward' to the campaign against Bush. What! I knew then he was clueless about what was coming. Didn't he even study McCain's personal destruction in SC?

Then the 'flip flop' attack, and once again, nothing in response. He should have implemented a 'Bush flip flop' of the week YESTERDAY. Could have started with Bush's opposition to the creation of the Dept. of Homeland Security, although, in my opinion, one of the few things Bush had been right about, but then flip flopped.


And the fool in charge of the DNC at the time of Kerry's defacto nomination let loose all the ammo on Bushes sorry military career almost immediately instead of holding it back for the inevitable attacks on Kerry's record. By the time Kerry needed something to counter the Swifties with, all that ammo was old old news.


In the last two weeks Kerry didn't even look like he wanted to be prez. His pathetic air punch became so weak he barely made a fist anymore. Sad, huh?

And this from a guy all the Dem leadership said, 'can win'.

Well, America had a chance to creep back from the edge in 04 but instead chose to jump off.


bill r., don't care about Democracy in Iraq. In fact, I'd prefer a civil war to start their. Just like with liberals, if the mainstream Muslims stood up to their extreme factions, they might achieve some form of civility.


Enough said!


Raving Loon,

maybe they didn't poll enough at the Unemployment office to get the liberal sample.

John D. - Raving Loon was trying to be funny. "Trying" being the key word.

But Bill, isn't terrorism just a "police issue"?

Impeach Bush? Go ahead, I like the sound of President Cheney.


Not sure if your question Terry was directed to me? terrorism a police issue?



Having applied my fair, balanced and neutral analysis to this particular blog, I have determined the Liberals have won yet another one.

I would also prefer any of the Liberals as a partner.


I don't see Jeb ever being Prez., C. Morris, although it's evident to all [but exactly one person] that Jeb is much better qualified than his dull big brother (of course, there are tens of thousands who meet that description). W's trifecta of arrogant, dishonest ineptitude (tm)has ruined Jeb's chances forever.

Jeb of course knows this and surely resents W for it. I have this vision that every time the Bush boys get together, Jeb smacks him in the head, hard, just like when they were kids.


What a beautiful day indeed! Finally a majority of Americans see the war in Iraq and the war on terror as different conflicts.



a blinkin

I didn't see W ever being President either, but...

It just tracks too well for the Repubs. A Rapture Ready Republican candidate, just in time for 08.

W's team is ready and waiting. Virtually no transition necessary.



A blinkin,


An added 'positive' for the 08 Republicans/Jeb;

Offering up Jeb would be the next best thing to NOT 'changing horses in midstream' during war time.

The Mideast and maybe Persia, all in a conflagration, better stick with a Bush and the team that brought you all this success.


Post a comment

(Anonymous comments will not be posted. Comments aren't posted immediately. They're screened for relevance to the topic, obscenity, spam and over-the-top personal attacks. We can't always get them up as soon as we'd like so please be patient. Thanks for visiting The Swamp.)

Please enter the letter "y" in the field below: