Posted by Mark Silva at 9:17 am CDT
Ken Mehlman, the Republican National Committee chairman, conceded today that Republicans could lose several seats in the House and Senate this fall but maintained that the "tsunami'' that some are predicting with a Democratic takeover of either the House or Senate will not materialize.
Mehlman declined to offer numbers, but then, when asked if a scenario involving a loss of three Republican Senate seats and 12 Republican House seats is feasible, the chairman replied: "I would say those are not outrageous numbers.'' The Democrats must capture six Senate seats or 15 House seats in November to gain control of either chamber – suggesting just how precarious the House balance is.
The chairman, who ran the president's reelection campaign, acknowledges that his party faces a "challenging political environment'' this year, With reporters at a Christian Science Monitor-sponsored breakfast in Washington this morning, Mehlman allowed that "voters are in a sour mood'' and that, "We're in a head wind because we're in a tough war.'' And in an email to supporters today, the chairman warned that Democratic takeover of Congress could not only threaten national security but "maybe'' even lead to the impeachment of the president.
But breaking down the contests district by district, and considering how much money the Republican Party is prepared to spend on its races -- $60 million for advertising and get-out-the-vote efforts alone -- Mehlman voiced confidence that his party can maintain control of both the House and Senate this fall.
Looking at 20 open congressional seats this fall, Mehlman maintained that 17 of these are districts in which voters have supported the president by an average of 61 percent. And looking at 35 congressional seats which independent analysts have identified as exceptionally competitive this fall, the party chairman affirmed, "we have a cash lead in 28 of the 35.''
"We will spent at least $60 million just on ads and turnout,'' said Mehlman, promising to dwarf the Democratic Party in similar spending and also promising a targeted effort that reaches far beyond television advertising and gets into the homes of individual voters that the RNC has honed during the past two elections.
"One of the most effective tools we developed in '02 and '04 is to reach voters on issues they care about… in their households,'' said Mehlman, maintaining that his party had knocked on the doors of, or delivered phone calls into the homes of, targeted voters one million times in the past week alone.
And the party is playing the national security card to its best advantage.
Mehlman, in an email to supporters this morning, warned that more than "just the House, the Senate and 36 governorships'' are at stake year.
"It's whether the president's efforts to keep Americans safe will grind to a halt with Democrats in control of funding every aspect of the war on terror,'' the chairman's email warned voters. "Whether Democrats will be allowed to carry out their threat to raise your taxes by $2.4 trillion… Whether Democrats will get their wish of investigating – and maybe even impeaching – our president.''
At breakfast, Mehlman brushed aside the sharp differences that his party's leaders have shown this week on the administration's interrogation and proposed trial of detainees at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. Key Senate Republican leaders – including Armed Services Chairman John Warner (D, Va.) and Sen. John McCain – are warning that the administration's attempts to define the Geneva Convention on the handling of enemy combatants could place American forces in danger abroad. They also want the government to show more of the evidence it has against accused terrorists to the defendants in the military trials that Bush proposes.
The party's differences over this legislation are not as damaging as the two parties' differences over such issues as the Patriot Act and National Security Agency surveillance, Mehlman suggested, maintaining that overall voters are more likely to trust the Republicans as more determined to carry out the war on terror.
"The average American is not paying attention to committee markups,'' Mehlman said. "What they're going to do is look at the overall, and when they look at the overall, they'll recognize that Republicans are united… I am hopeful and confident that the president is going to be able to have the kind of program he talked about last week,'' he said, referring to Bush's proposals for legislation permitting tough interrogation and military trial of accused terrorists.
America indeed would be weaker and more vulnerable in the war against terrorism, the chairman maintained, "if Democratic leaders were in charge and had their way.''







Comments
There ya go...Get out that message that the dems will raise your taxes and impeach the president.
Let them know that we will invite the terrorists for thanksgiving diner. No scare tactics here...
"We are in a head wind because we're in a tough war" Not because we're in a useless war of our own making!
Posted by: bill r. | September 15, 2006 9:35 AM
Well, duh, every mid-term congressional election when the president himself isn't polling highly has some gain for the opposition party.
I wonder why in 1996 we didn't hear a litany of predictions of republican control of both houses of congress? That one took everyone by surprise for some reason.
Posted by: Bill | September 15, 2006 9:38 AM
I see a large amount of Republicans right now trying to change so they do win. The American People want change the Republican have contolled Congress since 1996 .And have done very little for We The People. We shall see how many shall fall but I feel it will change to the point of a tie or outright new control of the House.
Posted by: Dale Peters | September 15, 2006 9:47 AM
Dale is correct.
Republicans that turn away from the administrations Iraq policy will gain votes, not lose them.
Ground gained by the Democrats because of their opposition to the administrations Iraq policy will erode as more Republicans - to borrow from the Republican campaign phrasebook - flip-flop.
It will take some astute maneuvering by Democratic strategists to keep a firm grip on some of the leads
their canidates have.
Posted by: johnf | September 15, 2006 11:37 AM
"One of the tools we developed in 02 and 04 is to reach voters on issues they care about.........in their households."
RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman
HUH!!!! Is this code that the Republican plan is to throw around as much money as possible,and then bring in KKKarl Rove to swiftboat,and confuse the issues.????
We will see if the Republicans can pull out their broken down swiftboat,and make any headway at all.
They have absolutly NOTHING to run on,no great sucesses,nothing, but lockstepping with Dubya for the past 6 years.
I saw where Prez.Dolittle addressed the Republican members of Congress yesterday,I'm willing to bet that they were glad to hear him "cheerleading" for them,after all, he is worried that if they lose,he will be investigated.
I'm also sure that the Republicans in Congress were being very careful yesterday not to have their picture taken with Dubya,that would be bad p.r. these days.
The Neo-Cons are finished.
Posted by: John E. | September 15, 2006 11:47 AM
Dale "the So-Called Republican" Peters never says one nice thing about the Republicans. Anyway, the GOP took control of Congress in 1994, Senate and the House for the first time in 40 years. They have held the House since then and the Senate for most of that time. In 2002, when history shows the party in power loses House and Senate seats the Republicans won many House and Senate seats. In 2004, when president running for re-election often loses House and Senate seats, the GOP again gained in both. An off-year election in which the president in his sixth term in the past normally loses House and Senate seats. That may happen again this year.
But Dale, the Republicans have done much since taking over Congress. They balanced the budget and even had surplusses because they clamped down on spending. Balancing the budget was part of the Contract for America. Clinton was against it. A simple google search will prove that. Republicans enacted welfare reform. They cut taxes, which grew the economy. They strengthened the country's defense. Even passed prescription drug care, which I'm not necessarily for.
The GOP has done many great things since taking over Congress, but some have lost their way since 1990s. Many Republican voters will hold those Republicans responsible, something Democratic voters rarely do.
Let's look at Illinois. We have the CHicago mayor with corruption all around him. He'll win re-election. We have Cook County leadership so awash in corruption it is sad. Democrats will win anyway. We have a governor with more investigations on his administration than George Ryan ever saw. Democrats will make sure he wins re-election.
And the national Democratic party is corrupt too, just as many GOPers have faced. We have Democratic congressman and senators throughout the nation being investigated, from West Virginia to New Jersey to Louisiana to New Mexico to points north. But the Democratic voters don't care nor does the media.
Posted by: John D | September 15, 2006 12:34 PM
This just in! With no accomplishments to run on the RNC has announced their fall '06 election strategy: Fear and Smear!
Posted by: Janet | September 15, 2006 1:35 PM
Here's the Democrat Plan for America:
1 Insult Bush.
2 Blame it on Bush.
3 Repeat Steps 1 and 2.
And they want me to vote for them. LOL, whatever. Try getting a platform that isn't driven by a pathetic hatred for Bush, and maybe I'll consider voting for you.
Won't matter for me though, not with all the sheep in Chicago that are brainwashed into voting Democrat year in / year out.
Posted by: Darryn | September 15, 2006 2:34 PM
As usual with "Swamp" articles, the headline "RNC concedes some losses coming" twists what RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman actually said--and twists it in a way to discoruage GOP voters. The facts are there in the article--the reporter asked Mehlman a loaded question, and Mehlman replied (as any rational human being would) that it was possible some GOP seats would be lost. There is a vast difference in saying some future event is possible, and saying some future event is a given.
Posted by: Bruce | September 15, 2006 2:59 PM
Darryn,
Who better to blame? Bush is the "decider" and Congress is just doing his bidding.
Posted by: Janet | September 15, 2006 3:35 PM
Ahhh - remember the good old days when Republicans were truly fiscal conservatives, didnt care to see the federal government intruding in peoples lives too much, and wanted to shrink the size of government ?
They are over.
Posted by: johnf | September 15, 2006 3:40 PM
John D you are right about the balanced budget .Buth those where the moderates they got swiftboated by the right wing . Now we have no balaned budget and no tax cuts for middle class because the only cut for upper two percent. John the Republicans before the right wing took over are who I support .I can not and will not support these Republicans by them cutting veterans they cut me. John here read the facts DAV Grades are in .Not even the Chairman of Veterans Committee passed VFW ,American Legion or DAV HERE IS THE LINK
http;//www.vote-smart.org/issue_rating_detail.php?sig_id004044M
Posted by: Dale Peters | September 15, 2006 4:28 PM
IF the Democrats take over both Houses in November, which is a possibility...it's impeachment time for Mr. Bush.
Posted by: Doug R. | September 15, 2006 4:42 PM
The Dems will never win!
Not as long as we have DIEBOLD!
BWWWWAAHAHHAHAAHAHHAHAH
Posted by: JD | September 15, 2006 4:52 PM
Doug R.
But if Bush is successfully impeached who can we count on to prosecute the war against tomatotarianism?
(google 'bush tomatolitarians')
Posted by: C.Morris | September 15, 2006 4:56 PM
"Here's the Democrat Plan for America:
1 Insult Bush.
2 Blame it on Bush.
3 Repeat Steps 1 and 2.
And they want me to vote for them. LOL, whatever. Try getting a platform that isn't driven by a pathetic hatred for Bush, and maybe I'll consider voting for you.
Posted by: Darryn | Sep 15, 2006 2:34:17 PM"
OK! Now, put on thinking caps! Just replace the name 'Bush' with the name 'Clinton' and you will see a very odd, yet compelling similarity to the 'Republican' plan!
Posted by: C.Morris | September 15, 2006 5:09 PM
OK, back by popular demand"
Top Ten Hilarious Nick-names for the Bush Administration:
10. The BEAT-les!
9. Cream(em)
8. Christ's Chekists
7. Not so Grand Inquisitors
6. Gladhand Gestapo
5. The Not so Lovable Little Rascals
4. Hard Power Posse
3. Gang of 400 or More
2. 'Fool' and the Gang
And the number one Hilarious TeamBush BushCorp Nick-Name!
1. "The Bush Administration"
Posted by: C.Morris | September 15, 2006 6:16 PM
C. Morris you better start reading GAO reports. Bush is being blamed for more then you think. By the so does the Senate intell report.
Posted by: Dale Peters | September 15, 2006 7:54 PM
C. Morris,
I liked your top ten list,I guess I'm not the only one on here who is a Letterman fan.
Posted by: John E. | September 15, 2006 9:39 PM
JohnEEE
Yeah, he (DL) is pretty tough on W, but just as damning of WJC.
Posted by: C.Morris | September 16, 2006 9:19 AM
Let's see, the Republicans are sounding the alarm that the Democrats want to raise my taxes. Well, my taxes have never been higher. That happened under Bushy.
And let's see how the Republicans have done me favors, I have been paying $3.50 a gallon for gas. Up from $1.50 under the last Democrat. Geez, those Republicans have been good to someone there but not me.
And that is under a Republican administration that is bought and sold by the Saudis. The same Saudis that Bushy walks around arm and arm, or hand in hand with. Those photos of Bushy holding hands with the Saudi leader during a stroll were priceless. That says all anyone needs to know about Bushy's relationship with the Saudis.
And who attacked us on Sept 11? Yup, our friends the Saudis. Or rather, Bushy's friends the Saudis. The 9/11 attacks happened under Bushy's watch remember; right after he took his usual and customary one month vacation clearing brush in Texas.
Saudi terrorists hiding in Afghanistan and Pakistan attack us. Logical next move would be to invade, what, Iraq? Right. Kill and maim thousands of American soldiers for absolutely NOTHING.
Ever wonder why Bushy sounds like he is talking to idiots when he explains things to the American people? it is because that is how things are explained to him.
Does anyone really think the Democrats can do any worse?
Posted by: Dennis M. | September 16, 2006 9:23 AM
Goldwater Today:
CC Goldwater on what her grandfather would make of today’s GOP
No, today's GOP is not the GOP that I would vote for. 'nuff said - Jack
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14863898/site/newsweek/
Sept. 16, 2006 - As the granddaughter of Barry Goldwater, I am often asked what I think my grandfather would have felt about the direction of today’s Republican Party. What I found in the past year I spent making a documentary about the man, “Mr. Conservative: Goldwater on Goldwater,” is that my grandfather is one person for whom it is pretty hard to speak. He was vocal about his opinions, which he presented with a rare clarity.
Still, those opinions have echoes today, and as the documentary shows, while my grandfather didn’t leave his party, his party has left him. Though he’s often depicted as the father of conservatism, Barry Goldwater would be considered a moderate today. He was firmly pro-choice, a supporter of gay rights and, in his later years, said that he thought it was okay for gays to serve in the military.
Fundamentally, it’s clear that Barry would not have been comfortable with the increasing influence of the Christian right over the GOP. My grandfather would have been appalled by the whole political grandstanding of the Terri Schiavo mess.
The Constitution was Barry’s bible. He felt strongly about what it represented and the guidance it gave to establishing our government. And he thought that most U.S. citizens took it for granted. “Most Americans have never even read it and that’s a shame,” he once said. “Kids are not learning about it because it’s not honored the way it used to be.”
We need to remember the true values and freedoms the Constitution guarantees us. The main lesson I learned from my grandfather: “Government needs to stay out of personal lives, and do the job that we entrusted them with—to run and govern our country efficiently and truthfully, according to the laws our forefathers crafted.” That’s a message worth remembering today.
Throughout my life, I was encouraged to be honest and truthful to all those I came in contact with. We need to encourage our youth to do the same. That begins with the people we look up to, our parents and government. We have to have something that we can trust and believe in and not fear. “Trust and fear cannot coexist at the same time,” Barry said. Anyone who motivates our decisions by fear cannot restore the principles of a country founded in freedom. “I will support whoever is running our country as long as they abide by those principles and will run our country and not our lives.”
Posted by: Jack | September 16, 2006 5:27 PM
Impeach the president?
Like that's - oral sex?
Posted by: Doug Zook | September 18, 2006 11:51 AM