New Iowa Poll: Obama and Huckabee

Not surprising at all. Huckabee will win for the GOP - probably by a greater margin. Romney's national standing will begin to fade as many more people develop the mindset that he lacks sincerity and is an opportunist in the mold of John Kerry who will say and do anything to get elected.

ST. NICK ENDORESED MITT ROMNEY saw it with my own eyes on FOX . We were so poor that I got a battery for Christmas .The box said TOY NOT INCLUDED...........FYI Santa can leave the North Pole if he wants to .

Hurray!!!

Go Obama!!!!

Fire Up! Ready to Go!

I think it's funny that people actually take Huckabee seriously. Hey Mike, do you still think the world is flat???

Huckabee's sling shot is starting to be pulled back inch by inch as the tension builds in Iowa. How close Huckabee gets to the White house will depend on how badly he squashes Romney in Iowa. Find out about Huckabe here: http://www.mikehuckabee.com/index.cfm?FuseAction=About.Home

Huckabee's lead is a leisure he won't enjoy for long. Voters in Iowa still have no idea about his shady past on economic issues and immigration. Once voters realize that Huckabee isn't a real conservative, Romney will retake his lead.

Finally, Mr. Huckabee is getting the attention due a frontrunner! He is constantly climbing in most polls because he has integrity and people can see that. Also, he is the only man running who has outlined a viable plan for the US future in Iraq, energy independance, and changing the present tax system. First Iowa...then the nation!

Let's have an abstract perspective on polls. Media suppors underdog (obama) as it attracks more attention from voters and is of interest to Clinton haters. So media pounds on the leader Clinton. If Clinton was the under dog, media would pound on Obama.
The only poll that is valid is on Jan 3. Media is not fair and is bent on influencing results.

Huckabee is inevitably going to win in Iowa, South Carolina, and Texas. Can he win more besides?

Mike Huckabee seems sincere and authentic. He looks you in the eye and tells you what he believes to be true. Mitt Romney comes across as a practiced politician - slick, programmed and opportunistic.

Mike Huckabee is an independent Conservative - always has been. Mitt Romney seems to change policy positions depending on what office he's going for.

I like Mike Huckabee - the real deal.

Here's the important question: Of the "slightly more than half the Democrats surveyed" who said they "could change their mind" whom are they currently supporting?
Why doesn't anyone report the answer to that question?

Huckabee is skyrocketing, and may just touch down with the nomination in his hand. He's now:

1st in Iowa,
2nd in Florida,
2nd in Texas,
2nd/3rd in New Hampshire, AND
2nd in the Nation (rasmussen daily tracking poll, 12/01)

Huckabee is very Reaganesque, and will likely continue to move up in the weeks to come.

"Give Hope Another Chance"
www.mike-huckabee.blogspot.com

Five paragraphs on the Dem half of the poll, versus 3 on the GOP half.

By DNC Swamp standards, this is as close as they get to balanced reporting.

Please investigate the article in politico.com about Obama. This is so so bad for the candidates who are honest in their campaigns! Is this the new face of politics?...the changes white house needs? America is crying for?

We rely on you for the TRUTH!

AS a self-confessed liberal, I must admit that while I support Hillary for President, if I had to have a Republican, I'd choose Mike.

Huckabee, although more conservative than Rudy, somehow scares me less. Rudy seems temperamental and impulsive. I don't trust him being in charge of wars. He could actually be more dangerous than George W. Bush.

Huckabee, also shows that he has a human side, being the only Republican who, although wrong about the solutions to poverty, still seems to personally care about poverty.

Rudy reminds me of the bullies that used to win all the arguments on the playground by just being tough guys.

Here's my new anti-Rudy slogan: "Tough isn't enough." Go Mike!

This poll is exceedingly good news for the Barack Obama Campaign.

With all the 2nd tier candidates polling under the Iowa Caucus's 15% viability rule, those candidates' supporters will either have to go with another candidate or go home.

It's highly unlikely that non-viable voters will move to the Clinton campaign because of their negative perception of her electability in the general election. That leaves either Edwards or Obama.

My guess is that Edwards will pick up about a third of the non-viable and Obama the other 2/3rds - a convincing Iowa win for Obama.

How about Hillary getting booed extensively and loudly by the audience in Iowa last night. I'm sure there will be complete coverage in the Tribune and Swamp sometime today....or tomorrow...or maybe next week. That report came from ABC News, a Clinton team member. Interesting how other media ignore it. The reality is, she cannot take it. Look for a backlash from the Clinton camp...and get out of the way.

RNC Bruce,

What column do you put this story in?

Quote of the Day

"When they're kicking you in the rear, it's just proving you're still out front."

Presidential candidate Mike Huckabee

You ever notice how people who believe in creationism look really unevolved???

Logic Prisoner

Five paragraphs on the Dem half of the poll, versus 3 on the GOP half.

By DNC Swamp standards, this is as close as they get to balanced reporting.

Posted by: Bruce | December 2, 2007 2:13 AM

Bruce your a whinning crybaby. Give it a rest, if only for one day. Your starting to sound like a broken record!

Anyone interested in a funny (but it really happened) column about what Huckabee is really like face-to-face should try:
http://goupstate.us/index.php/lanefiller/2007/11/02/title_14

I still think it'll be Hill and Bill over the long haul.
Their campaign has made mistakes so far, but not many.

Having watched the creepy Republican You-T debates, I can understand why Republicans may be desperate. Romney is like a wind-up toy. McCain is totally ancient. Giuliani is just too funky. Fred Thompson is totally ancient and sounds like a dimwit to boot.

I say--Hill reaches out to Bill Richardson and signals that he will be her running mates. Hispanic vote goes her way. She keeps a chunk of the black vote. Gets a majority of the women's vote.

Maybe the lucky guys will be the ones who DONT get
the Republican nomination.
Wouldn't be worth the extreme hassle.

The Des Moines Register Iowa Poll 'respected'? Maybe a half century ago. The DMR is the Pravda of the midwest; it and it's former sister publication, the Minneapolis (Red) Star are the most biased rags around, corporate monopoly affirmative action cesspools who never met a socialist they didn't like.

The time is ripe for theft
of Democatic thunder! Keep it up, but do not weep if
the Republican Party comes
back to defeat the Dems. What is happening now if true can become a nightmare
if the Reps have the brains
to counter a public feeling
that favored Hillory's party. Think about the loss!

Mike Huckabee's surge is the voice of America saying Washington is not for sale...any more!

LOL Hicks ghost! I have the dvd with that whole bit, just hilarious - Billy would sure be chewing up this lot of wannabes if he were alive today, I miss him.

Regarding Romney, I'm not surprised. But the reason is the solid conventional American Christians of Iowa are beginning to realize that Mormonism is a far different religion than they had been led to believe. The JFK-Romney analogy is a false one. Mormonism is radically different than even the Catholicism of Kennedy.

Great news for the reality based world, that finally the people of Iowa are seeing through the neocons. Personally, I've been gradually seeing the Clintons for what they are, nothing more than power hungry, position-seeking charlatans. And yes, I did vote for slick Willie both times, but some of what he presided over are now hurting people like me, lowly hard-working folks. We need to change course quickly, else we'll be overcome by the smothering blanket of this creeping fascism. Hillary is part of the neocon crowd who are quite happy with the status quo.

Looking now to the Reps, I see a bunch of freaks who are willingly aiding and abetting the destruction of this once admired nation. I just cannot understand why most folks do not see the perils they've wrought upon us. We are on the bring of an economic collapse whilst they conspire to deplete the treasury for their own fulfillment. They ignore the warnings of the knowledgeable scientists about what ills we are commiting to the planet. They ignore facts and instead want to ram their indoctrination down our unwilling throats. They believe that if things become hell-like then their mythical cloud-being will come from behind the cloud he inhabits and rescue their miserable arses. Such imbeciles.

Currently Mike Huckabee is running television commercials in Iowa touting the fact, he is the only ordained Southern Baptist minister in the presidential race; implying that the United States is, in fact, a "Christian nation" and only a "Christian" is qualified to lead it.

What part of the US Constitution doesn't Mike Huckabee understand?

Answer:Article VI, Clause 3:The Senators and Representatives before mentioned, and the Members of the several State Legislatures, and all executive and judicial Officers, both of the United States and of the several States, shall be bound by Oath or Affirmation, to support this Constitution; but no religious Test shall ever be required as a Qualification to any Office or public Trust under the United States.

why isn't john edwards receiving more attention? he's the best candidate of the big 3 dems. and he's the only one who's believable when he talks about making changes. let's get a ticket of edwards for president and obama as vice president.

Loi:
The college students the Obama campaign is targeting are legal residents of Iowa. They have a stake in Iowa government and certainly in the Presidential race. College students live a transient lifestyle, but does this mean they lose their right to vote?

Much of the political establishment has counted on young voter apathy. I think it's terrific Obama is treating them as real citizens. Candidates who speak out against the rights of these voters risk a lethal backlash.

In response to poster Bill Hick's Ghosts message which discusses fundamentalist Christianity and puts religion front and center in this campaign, I'm much, much more disturbed and concerned with Obama growing up Muslim with a Muslim father and aethist mother, and attending a Muslim school for four years. Regardless of what religion he calls himself today, I'm not convinced Obama, with his roots in the Muslim community, can effectively represent my interests and that of this nation, which is still predominently Christian and Jewish.

Obama against Huck would do so much to elevate the mood of the country.

Having grown up in Iowa and attended college there, I'm always amused at the attention the caucuses attract. Iowa is a very small state and college students tend to dominate the caucus process. College students, myself included at the time, like to shake things up. But in the long run, nothing that comes out of Iowa matters.

The winning issue for republicans is combating illegal immigration, and Huckabee is weak. If the republicans are going to stand a chance next November, they need a strong anti-illegal voice.

Re: Ben

Ben what part of the First Amendment to the United States Constitution don't you understand?

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances.

Please refer to my comment above concerning Mike Huckabee.

Ernest T Spoon....Nice try but you know my post was not suggesting we legislate religions in or out of America. However, as a nation of predominatly Christians and Jews, I'm not convinved Obama, with his deep Muslim roots, can/will effectively represent my interests and that of this nation. You and others here have no problem bashing Christianity but cry foul when Obama's Muslim ties are raised. Sorry, but at this time in history I don't want my president to have grown up Muslim with an aethist mother. I think upbringing matters in a person's character.

The full article in the Tribune, on a poll of both Democrats and Republicans in Iowa, had 12 paragraphs on the Democrats, only 5 on the Republicans.

This despite the fact that the Republican result is, if anything, the more newsworthy.

The DNC Swamp has become a broken record in its incessant coverage of one party only.

"Huckabee is very Reaganesque, and will likely continue to move up in the weeks to come."

"Give Hope Another Chance"

Sure. Just what we need: another prez to sleep thru 8 years in office, believes ketchup is a vegetable, trees are the biggest pollutors, destroy the middle class, create nations of homeless living on the streets of our country, deals like Iran-Contra, etc. With Huck, we'll be in for another round teaching creationism in the schools, humans living at the same time as dinosaurs, and the earth is 6,000 years old, on and on and on. Enough, already! Can we please get back to reality, here on this planet?

Obama, yes; Huckabee, OK, he seems better than most of the neo-con nut jobs. As for him being a Baptist minister, fine, we all have to make a living and this is the road he chose before politics.

As for the religious concerns, yes the constitution does state its disdain for the mix of religions and politics, but cannot tell the public how to vote, and if showing how "religious" one is gets one elected, then that is what you must do, even if you never went to church in your life a real good speaker could pull of his being "religious" to attract that vote. You can attack a man for not going to church of the "right" church, but not for his beliefs.

There are 2 things I worry about more than who wins as president and that is

(1) that they try to create an American version of the "Divine Right of Kings" for the office of President (which by the way we're really close by the way the candidates use God and Jesus to influence their decision making processes, the next step is to state that any one who challenges that president's decisions are in effect challenging God)

(2) Please read about the new law passed by The House and is on the way to the Senate: Violent Radicalization and Homegrown Terrorism Prevention Act which would make protesting against the US government or its actions a crime and thus could have t=you labeled a "homegrown terrorist" - this is far more dangerous a law than even the PATRIOT Act was and is, research and understand that the "1984"-style police state is almost here.

Once that law and the "Divine Right of Presidents" are applied to the society and the Supreme Court decides that none of these violates the Constitution than the Neo-Monarchial/Fascist USA is here.

Wow, I can't believe some of the whacky comments being made. Do you think the people writing this junk actually believe most of it? That's scary.

Iowa's caucus results come down to one single factor, who is dedicated enough to their chosen candidate to drag their butts outside on a figid January evening to meet with a bunch of neighbors for 2-3 hours (and miss the Orange Bowl). The fact that young people, minorities and religious zealots are the most motivated to have their voices heard is no surprise. The choice of candidates reflects that motivation.

I believe the poll must be rigged on the Republican side. No mention of Ron Paul at all, but the healthier-than-thou homophobe leads? Americans can not be that dumb. To elect a simpleton who does not believe in evolution will make us the laughing stock of the world. I think he is only getting attention because he bashes fat people and pharma likes that. More money in their pocket. He put weight on Arkansas kids report cards, creating an untold number of eating disorders. Pharma likes that even more, it stops at nothing to sell its deadly pills. If this joke really is in the lead, it is time for some kind of intelligence test for voting.

This despite the fact that the Republican result is, if anything, the more newsworthy.

The DNC Swamp has become a broken record in its incessant coverage of one party only.

Posted by: Bruce | December 2, 2007 12:16 PM

Bruce the the only broken record in The Swamp is the sound of your incessant whining!

"I'm not convinced Obama, with his roots in the Muslim community, can effectively represent my interests and that of this nation, which is still predominently Christian and Jewish.

Posted by: Ben | December 2, 2007 11:45 AM

Ben, Obama is a christian. That is a tired GOP myth. Cheap slander. Aim for his name. The fact that he is well traveled and HIGHLY educated should allay your fears. I'm a christian and have had the opportunity both to meet and talk with Mr Obama. You can put your fears to rest. Unless of course your a bed wetting GOP tuff guy/crybaby like Bruce in which case nothing will please you.

To those who are applying a religious test for candidates (ie., "Obama is a Muslim, Huckabee is the right kind of Christian," etc.) May I remind you that the Constitution specifically prohibits a religious test. And for good reason. The Founding Fathers were suspicious of religion interfering in government.

They had European history to inform them. For example, Spain during the Inquisition, where waterboarding was used, by the way. All we need do today is look at the mess religion has made of Afghanistan. Doesn't matter which religion. Any religious takeover of a government would be a disaster.

Like the current one in the United States.

The DNC Swamp has become a broken record in its incessant coverage of one party only.

Posted by: Bruce | December 2, 2007 12:16 PM

Just piss off then loser!

I find it hard to take Huckabee seriously after the Republican debate where he said he believed 100% in the bible.

The bible instructs followers that in order to evacuate their bowels, they must march a prescribed number of steps outside the bounds of a city, dig a hole with a wooden paddle, and cover their filth after finishing their business.

I'm betting that Huckabee uses indoor plumbing, just like nearly everyone else in the USA. Is it OK to call him a hypocrite for saying one thing, and then having his actions show another?

Looks like the campaigns are waking up to the SWAMP.

Most of these posts look like they were made by the various campaigns.

The truth is that the polls are like a gelatin that was mixed 1 minute ago - far from solidification.

Even when 3 out of 10 voters still express wishy-washy sentiments, it still won't matter. What matters in Iowa is who actually braves the cold and attends the caucuses and stays around until the final votes are cast.

The FairTax Act of 2007 (HR 25/ S 1025) represents a prospective power shift of massive proportions in America. It lays out a practical ideal of voluntary payment of taxes, based on a substantial level of taxpayer choice that the plan affords. Since FairTax untaxes basic necessities (up to socially-accepted poverty-level spending), what is taxed is marginal, and/or desired or preferred, on a broader base of retail products and services. This is to say that the taxpayer may, under the FairTax, choose to purchase used products and avoid paying the tax. And, to the extent desired, the taxpayer may choose to self-perform certain services rather than pay for them. This will stimulate do-it-yourself education, improve citizens' self-reliance; indeed the FairTax represents the possibility of ushering in a new can-do, citizen psychology that would accrue to greater demands for government accountability - truly, a socio-cultural sea change, or - better - a restoration of a freeholder mindset on account that politicians could no longer directly grab dollars from paychecks, nor could they grap operating capital from businesses.

The FairTax has a much greater opportunity for success to operate as a "self-regulating" mechanism because of increased visibility. One finds that the current system, ostensibly regulated by the Internal Revenue Code, is in fact poorly regulated because of continually increasing complexity (the effect of tax favors from politicians, through lobbyists, to favored corporations and other special interests) stemming from the desire by those holding government position to steer public behavior using tax code "carrots." We have seen how 100 years of this type of behavior has eroded the Nation's currency and the purchasing power of working family incomes. "Visionist," Tom Frey believes the current tax system will simply collapse; and economist Laurence Kotlikoff heralds - short of enactment of FairTax (or an otherwise unlikely change in spending habits) - the U.S. will shortly face an irrevocable economic breakdown. (Kotlikoff believes that passage of the FairTax can stave off the economic ruin we're facing, but would be surprised to see it happen.) Frey and Kotlikoff may be right on both counts, and we may not be able to successfully evoke change; but shall we not try?

Mike Huckabee believes we should.

Why are we paying attention to these polls? Putting aside structural questions like defining a likely caucusgoer, the differences between Romney and Huckabee on the Republican side and Obama, Clinton and Edwards on the Democratic side are all within the margin of error. I want to hear about what these candidates are saying.

I also want the Tribune and other media outlets to closely examine these politicians' records. For example, how much truth is there in Max Brantley's piece on Salon.com about Huckabee's record in Arkansas? He's clearly a liberal partisan, and that's fine. I am, too. But why don't you follow his lead and see whether there's any substance to Brantley's portrayal of Huckabee? Horse races that last longer than the Kentucky Derby are BORING. Please tell us about the issues and about the records and character of the candidates.

Huckabee is the best candidate to heal the divide in this country. Here is a link to video clips on his position on issues. http://huckconnects.wordpress.com/

I think Obama ought to come back to Illinois and run for Governor. He will do a good job here. And get some experience that will help him in the next presidential election. That is of course if he doesnt beat Billary in the Democratic Primary.

Once voters realize that Huckabee isn't a real conservative, Romney will retake his lead.

Posted by: Joseph Antley | December 1, 2007 10:54 PM

Joe,

Maybe two terms of a "real conservative" has been more than enough for most voters? Perhaps you, and many party stalwarts, are out of touch?

Great news! Obama for America!

Why no mention of the latest Rasmussen poll that shows Clinton as the leader. How come the swamp only posts polls that show Obama as the leader and just ignores those that show Hillary with the lead. Gee I wonder if Mr McCormick could answer why that is?