by Frank James
Gallup's latest tracking poll shows what Sen. Barack Obama's campaign had hoped for and what Sen. Hillary Clinton's had feared, that the senator from Illinois's momentum would continue to eat into Clinton's core supporters--women, Hispanics and hard-core Democrats.
This is how Gallup's Jeffrey M. Jones put it:
PRINCETON, NJ -- The momentum in the Democratic nomination race has clearly swung toward Barack Obama. Not only has he won all of the post-Super Tuesday contests, but he has steadily gained in Gallup Poll Daily tracking to the point where he has overtaken Clinton as the national leader for the first time, holding a statistically significant lead in each of the last three tracking poll results.
Obama's standing has improved among most Democratic subgroups over the past several days. But one of the more substantial shifts has been the changing preferences of middle-aged Democratic voters, who have moved away from Clinton and toward Obama in the past week. Obama has also made gains among three other groups that have favored Clinton throughout much of the campaign -- women, Hispanics, and self-identified Democrats. Obama and Clinton are now running even among these three key groups in the most recent Gallup tracking data...
Throughout the campaign, exit polls have shown that Obama has appealed to younger voters, and Clinton to older voters. Even as the momentum has swung in Obama's favor, those basic relationships at opposite ends of the age spectrum still hold. The change in recent days has been in middle-aged Democratic voters' preferences. In the Feb. 5-9 period, Clinton led among Democratic voters aged 35 to 54 by a 49% to 42% margin. Now, Obama is the leader among this group by 51% to 42%.
If this shift of voters Clinton has relied on until now proves real and lasting, it would arguably make it next to impossible for her to perform as well as she needs to in the remaining states holding primaries, especially Texas and Ohio on March 4 and Pennsylvania on April 22 to capture the nomination.
But as we all should know by now, the only thing that matters is actual votes at polling places. So while the graph showing Obama's momentum is interesting, it's really got to taken with the proverbial grain of salt. Still, if you had to choose one, you'd obviously rather have Obama's curve than Clinton's.







Comments
I was a Clintonite for many years but after examining behaviours, I believe that Obama is better for America but super for the rest of the world. If America elects Obama, he will gain the respect, confidence and co-operation from the rest of the world thereby allowing the U.S to use its resources for the penefits of its people and to improve infostructure and industries fueled by renewed enthusiasm among its people and intrest in entrepreneurshin, innovation growth and employment. Obamas lack of experience is a lame argument. He is not a dictator and will not be running the country alone. He will engage the best minds and call on the experience and expertise of both Democrats and Republicans to bring about change to build and sustain a stronger, more respected Amererica.
I am not American but I am rooting for Obama and the country so that that America can be seen as a gregt nation and not a superpower that wage wars instead of fighting to give its citizens the future they deserve.
Posted by: Lee MacGregor | February 19, 2008 12:15 PM
Watch for negatives against Obama from Clinton AND the extreme right, who would prefer to see Clinton win.
A Hillary presidency would be as embarrassing and incompetent as her campaign is now.
Thanks for supporting Barack Obama!
Posted by: Barry Scott | February 19, 2008 12:34 PM
After the republicans use of the "southern strategy", they may have misread the electibility of a Black man, not that they would vote for him, but now they find out other whites will.
Posted by: bill r. | February 19, 2008 12:34 PM
I agree with the above post by Lee MacGregor. He said it better than I could, however, I am an American, and this is an historical, pivitol time in our history - and my lifetime. Obama will be President of the United States of America. This is a new time, a new day and we are witnessing a new generation of support. Hillary is embarrassing herself with her thin and desperate attacks. Senator Obama will rise above it all and prevail. Thank you, Lee, for expressing what millions of Americans and others feel.
Posted by: bette sinclair | February 19, 2008 12:44 PM
If voters are really "torn" about which of the two Democratic candidates they should vote for, I ask them to review the following stories which illustrate something key about the primary choices in this race:
In August of 2006, thousands of people gathered in the village of Kisumu in Western Kenya to welcome Senator Barack Obama and his wife Michelle Obama to the nation where Senator Obama's father was born and died and where his grandmother still lives.
In addition to visiting relatives and spreading goodwill, the Obamas had come to Africa with something in mind. They had a mobile HIV testing lab brought with them to Kisumu and, there, before the assembled thousands, Barack and Michelle were tested for HIV.
700 people die of AIDS-related illnesses in Kenya every day. 1.2 million of Kenya's 32 million people are infected with HIV. In Kisumu that ratio is one in five.
That is real.
And on that August day in 2006 Michelle and Barack decided to show those gathered in Kisumu that being tested is the right thing to do. As Senator Obama said that day:
"If you know your status, you can prevent illness," Obama, the only African-American in the Senate, told the crowd. "You can avoid passing it to your children and your wives."
Obama and his wife did not make public the results of their instant tests, but the senator said "we probably wouldn't be smiling" if the results were positive. Obama said the country's government has done a better job than many others in Africa of acknowledging the problem and discussing solutions. But people's reluctance to be tested has slowed progress.
That is leadership. That simple gesture will save lives.
That tells us something about what we can expect from Senator Barack Obama and his wife Michelle if we elect him President of the United States.
::
I want to tell you one more story.
On May 1st, 2006 millions of Latino immigrants and their allies marched all over this nation in support of comprehensive immigration reform. 400,000 marched in Chicago alone. Only two sitting United States Senators stood with them that day. One was Senator Ted Kennedy. The other was Senator Barack Obama. He said later that week in a statement:
I think we need to recognize that if we are going to uphold the traditions of this country as a nation of immigrants, than we are going to have to deal with this issue in a way that reflects common sense and compassion.
The House of Representatives passed a bill that was extraordinarily punitive. It talked about border security and it made any undocumented worker in this country a felon; it also made people who potentially helped undocumented workers, for example, providing housing assistance or providing a domestic violence shelter potentially subject to a felony conviction.
It's that draconian measure that passed in the House that prompted these marches, but what started as a march of fear on the part of many undocumented workers, I think, has become a march for hope. People are hoping that they have an opportunity to legalize themselves in some fashion.
In the United States Senate there has been a bipartisan group, including Ted Kennedy, John McCain, Chuck Hagel, Mel Martinez, Ken Salazar, Lindsey Graham and a number of others who've been trying to negotiate a comprehensive package that would include stronger border security, making sure that employers actually verify employment status through a tamper-proof employee-verification card, and creation of a pathway to citizenship - earned citizenship - for the 11 to 12 million people that are already here. The idea would be that those people, over the course of eleven years could earn their way to citizenship by paying a fine, paying their back taxes (if they owe any), staying out of trouble, learning English and so on.
Senator Barack Obama has pledged to take up this reform in his first year as President. Senator Clinton has not. In fact, Senator Clinton, representing New York, did not participate in the events of May 1st, 2006.
::
I've tried to stay positive in the most egregious battles of the candidate wars because I have known that the more people learn about Barack Obama, as a man and a politician, about his policies, the more they respect his integrity (even where they disagree with him). And the more people know about Barack Obama the more they are willing not simply to vote for him, but, as I saw when I traveled to Iowa, the more they are willing to go out and convince their neighbors to vote for him.
That is a powerful argument for Barack Obama in and of itself.
In Iowa, I met two couples with families (among dozens at an event) out canvassing their neighborhood with their children for Barack. (One of them is a kossack, copithorne, who wrote a diary about canvassing today.) Couples with children are busy people. Pushing strollers and leading four year olds is not the easiest thing to do when trying to Get Out the Vote.
But, given that, a couple with children knocking on your door to convince you to vote for Barack Obama is very persuasive.
Barack and Michelle Obama have a young family, too. Michelle and Barack speak eloquently about that. In fact, if we Democrats had won a small percentage more of the votes of families with children in 2004, John Kerry would be President today.
What I'd like to convey to you today is a very simple message.
Don't knock hope.
It's powerful. It's persuasive. It's pragmatic. It moves people to take action.
::
To be frank, I have been shocked by the deep cynicism of the campaign run by Senator Clinton. I don't want to belabor this point, but let me say this, I'm a student of political rhetoric. I am deeply invested in how we persuade people to take action...how we change hearts and minds.
I recognize in the rhetoric of Senator Clinton a skill, a succinct incisiveness that reflects a brilliant mind and years serving as a corporate lawyer reading and preparing briefs.
However, let me offer an example of what I consider to be cynicism on Senator Clinton's part. At the last debate a 38-year old online questioner submitted a question to Senator Clinton noting that for her entire voting life there had always been either a Clinton or a Bush on her Presidential ballot and serving in the White House.
That's true for me, too. I'm 39.
In 1988 we elected George H.W. Bush.
In 1992 we elected Bill Clinton
In 1996 we elected Bill Clinton
In 2000 we elected George W. Bush
In 2004 we elected George W. Bush
How is it a good thing for our nation that the same two immediate families should hold sway over our political lives and the office of the president for so many years? How does Senator Clinton answer that question in the minds of voters?
Clinton's answer was brilliant, pithy and the "take away line" of the debate:
Clinton absolutely nailed it with her quip that "it took a Clinton to clean up after the first Bush, and it may take a Clinton to clean up after the second Bush." -Chicago Sun Times
The only problem with that answer is that, like so many Clinton answers including those on the war in Iraq it's not really an answer at all. In fact, it exudes a cynicism that has emanated from the Clinton campaign from day one. It's a messy world, lower your expectations, don't expect your questions to get answered, don't look behind the curtain, don't buy anything from a guy 'selling hope', leave politics to the monied professionals, we know what we are doing.
If that's the rationale for your candidacy, if you think that's a sufficient answer to the complexities of the reservations we voters have about sending Bill and Hillary Clinton back to the White House, and what that would mean for those of us who want a fundamental change in our nation then you are not simply deeply cynical about the expectations Americans have of our leaders and our government but also unaware of the depths of our aspirations for a new day.
::
Listen to what Michelle Obama said last week on Larry King Live. She talked about hope, yes, but she also talked about how we citizens must ourselves come together and do the hard work that comes with hope, work on policy and persuasion, work in our communities. She talked about how we choose to come together not because of some rhetorical trick but because Barack Obama is willing to take a stand that makes him worth standing up for.
Now, that stand could be a simple gesture like getting an HIV test in a nation riven with AIDS.
Or that stand could involve the political courage to stand with immigrants calling out for justice and forge a complex legislative solution across the aisle...and to pledge to do so sooner rather than later.
On these, and so many other issues that confront us as a nation and a world, Barack Obama invites us to stand for change.
It's about time.
"WE are the ones we've been waiting for." BO, 2.5.08
Posted by: BrwnSknGurl | February 19, 2008 12:46 PM
"CNN AND MSNBC SPEAKS"
YES, WE TOO COUNTED ALL THE "SAGGY BOTTOM NO BELT WEARING MEN" IN AMERICA AND THEY VOTED 100% OBAMA!
YES, AT&T STRAW POLL FROM "EAVESDROPPED" DEMOCRATS 49.9 TO 49.1 OBAMA.
YES, VERIZON WIRELESS STRAW POLL FROM "WIRETAPPED" MOBILE DEVICE CALLS 49.9 TO CLINTON AND 49.1 TO OBAMA.
WE ARE TIED AMERICA. BECAUSE THERE ARE AN EVEN AMOUNT OF VOTERS 50/50 IN EVERY STATE IN THE UNION.
KEEP TALKING ON YOUR AMERICAN "10 DAY" STAY ON EAVESDROPPING, DATAMINING AND WIRETAPPING YOUR CAUCAS PHONE CALLS.
KEEP TALKING BECAUSE EVEN IF YOU KNOW WE ARE LISTENING, THAT'S A "SECRET" AND IT'S THE DEMOCRATS FAULT THAT WE CAN'T.
SO IT DOESN'T MATTER WHO VOTES, IT ONLY MATTERS WHO IS EAVESDROPPING ON THE VOTE, AND DATAMINING WHO IS VOTING.
SEE YA'LL IN THE GENERAL ELECTION.
JOHN JOHN HE'S OUR MAN, JOHN JOHN WILL KEEP US ALL OUT OF JAIL IF HE CAN.
GO AT&T!
Posted by: Roger Morris | February 19, 2008 12:49 PM
The Presidential Campaign in recent weeks has me convinced that Barrack Obama is the candidate of choice. It is obvious that the Clintons are greedy, liars and outright racist. I used to be a Clinton supporter but now have regrets. The Clinton behaviorism is their downfall. They cannot be trusted. Same with the McCain campaign...same old regime. America is 'sick of these same ole politics'. McCain wants a 100 year old War? How can America survive at Home? We have detrimental issues on the Homefront!
Vote for Barrack...he'll make a difference!
Posted by: Don Kaulia | February 19, 2008 1:01 PM
I have strongly shifted in my support from Hilary Clinton to Barack Obama. The tactics that the Clintons have been engaging in has reminded me strongly of what i believe is an underlying contempt that both have exhibited for playing by the rules. That weakness of character unfortunately destroyed Bill's legacy and good work, and has once again come back into play. In addition, Mr. Obama's strengths as a unifier, and an articulate leader is extremely persuasive to me. I believe we will be well served by his leadership.
Posted by: Cristy Barsky | February 19, 2008 1:09 PM
I think the country is responding to the climate of each campaign. Senator Obama is a positive person. He is trying not to get involved in negative attacks. He is concentrating on his ideas, his experiences - he has 12 years in public service and nearly 20 in community organizing and the policies he wants to present to Americans.
I do support Senator Obama and I am glad to see the results of this poll, however, as this race has shown, polls alone don't tell the story.
Posted by: TX Obama Mama | February 19, 2008 1:26 PM
The disgusting intrusion of Bill Clinton into the campaign, complete with his anger, his finger-jabbing, his veiled racist barbs, and his obvious dislike for the media just reinforces what so many assumed all along. Hillary is nothing more than a Trojan Horse who is running to make Bill president again, in fact if not in title, to thwart the presidential limitation amendment. They are treating this country like some banana republic or a backwoods sheriff's office. Is America ready to put up with their shenanigans and his female abuse for another 4-8 years. I think not.
Posted by: Andrea | February 19, 2008 1:29 PM
So here's the thing I was republican for a long time I have voted republican in the last election. I feel like our coutnry needs a change, and electing another Clinton is just like electing another Bush. it's the same thing, just a different sex. I feel like Obama bets represents what this country needs in both parties, someone who hasn't been playing the Washington games for years, someones whose youth and even inexperience will help bring change to a nation loosing its international standing as a country of great oppurtunity as our leaders destroy what our fore fathers created. Clinton represents the past, and electing her would mean we are moving backward instead of forward, her own rhetoric is the same, as her husbands. Obama seems to have momentum because nobody thought he would make it this far, nobody figured he would be able to win like he has, and now people are realizing there is a better choice, a better candiate to lead us into the future and not take us back into the past.
Posted by: Patti R. | February 19, 2008 1:31 PM
I agree with the poster above. Obama is te first leader in m lifetime who has asked the american people to do more then just vote. LIke JFK he asked young people to do something positive. When 911 happened bush told us to go shopping.
I am planning on going to peace corps myself, which has always been a dream of mine...but not if macain wins.(for saftey reasons)
Posted by: jeff | February 19, 2008 1:45 PM
Anytime now, Jeff the McCain gopher is going to come on here and start cheerleading for Hillary because as a good little Wingnut, Jeff knows that Obama is going to run McCain's "Geriatric Express" right back to the Arizona retirement home parking lot that McCain stole it from in the first place.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/newscorpse/2241930031/
Posted by: John E | February 19, 2008 1:54 PM
After seeing that the Clintons will say anything or do anything to get this nomination, I have decided that not only am I supporting Barack Obama but , if he does not get the nomination, I will pull the lever under the elephant in November. That will be the first time in my life that I will not vote Democrat! Hillary Clinton's adoption of Karl Rove tactics is reprehensible!
Posted by: thomas in DC | February 19, 2008 1:56 PM
I love Clinton’s politics. However, I had enough of 5 terms of Bush and Clinton administrations! It is time for change. Electing Hillary Clinton sounds to me like circumventing the Constitution by having a two-term president sleep again in the White House (where he will be involved indirectly in decision-making). Sorry Hillary, I love you, but I am voting for Obama. It is time for new blood in the White House.
Sam
Posted by: Sam Adams | February 19, 2008 2:04 PM
Hillary Clinton: So on top of her campaign that she fails to file for a full slate of delegates in Pennsylvania, a state cruicial to her recovery.
========
Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign failed to file a full slate of convention delegate candidates for Pennsylvania's April 22 primary.
This despite the possibility the primary proves critical and despite Clinton owning the full-throated support of Gov. Rendell, state Democratic Party leadership, Mayor Nutter and, presumably, the organizational skill all that entails.
And despite a Rendell-ordered extension of the filing deadline that could be viewed as more than just coincidental.
"There are a number of Clinton delegates that did not file for reasons of illness or other issues," Democratic state chairman T.J. Rooney conceded yesterday after being questioned by the Daily News.
He initially said he was unaware of the fact, but confirmed it after checking with Clinton's state delegate petition organizer.
==========
http://www.philly.com/philly/hp/news_update/15759032.html
Posted by: Jeff V. | February 19, 2008 2:09 PM
Internationally, the United States will immediately gain the respect of world leaders - as well as their people. While President Bush toured Africa this week, many African people talked with great excitement about Obama.
As for the Middle East, I must quote an Op-Ed in Khaleej Times: "the Muslim world has never been this excited about any election." (See "A president For Middle East," 16 Feb. 08, Khaleej Times) This, to me, means a lot more than making history by electing a woman.
Posted by: Prantha | February 19, 2008 2:15 PM
Good for Obama!
I'd rather see Obama get slaughtered by McCain's American heroism and his vast Senate record in November than a women that cries under pressure.
How long do you think Hillary or Barack would have lasted at 'The Hanoi Hilton' without legal counsel???
Paulo
Posted by: Paulo | February 19, 2008 2:36 PM
Unfortunately, the latest edition of the Gallup poll shows that Clinton is up. It is now Obama 46, Clinton 45, a statistically insignificant difference.
Posted by: Jed Rothwell | February 19, 2008 2:36 PM
Not a comment so much as a head's up. In your quoted passage from Jeffery Jones, you have the same paragraph twice.
Posted by: Paul | February 19, 2008 2:56 PM
I'd rather see Obama get slaughtered by McCain's American heroism and his vast Senate record in November than a women that cries under pressure.
How long do you think Hillary or Barack would have lasted at 'The Hanoi Hilton' without legal counsel???
Paulo
Posted by: Paulo | February 19, 2008 2:36 PM
Are you skipping school again, Paulo?.
The media likes to pretend that there are "3 wings" to the Republican party -- The "social conservatives", "fiscal conservatives", and "national security conservatives." These frames are bogus and we should NEVER concede these frames. Indeed there are 3 wings to the Republican Party. They are the Taliban Conservatives, the Halliburton Conservatives, and the Country Club Conservatives. We should be using frames just like this ALL the time.
Most Republicans represent all 3 extremist wings of the GOP. However, even if you combined all 3, they are still a small minority in this country. Here is what each wing of the Republican Party stands for.
1. The Taliban Conservatives
These people are similar to the Taliban and Osama Bin Laden (The guy Bush and McCain gave a free pass too for their war of profit in Iraq) except that they use a different religion and different bible to justify their social fascism.
They desire a police state, lack of due process, wrongful incarcerations, government ownership of woman's wombs, government intrusiveness into people's most intimate privacy areas, the power to retaliate against and falsely imprison those that stand in their way, the denial of liberty, the elimination of freedom, and a fundamentalist imposed theocracy on all our citizens. They hate freedom, hate liberty, hate our Constitution and seek to render the Bill of Rights obsolete.
2. The Halliburton Conservatives
Most conservatives are anti-military, weak on national security, weak on national defense, and disastrous on foreign policy issues. I call these people the Halliburton Conservatives.
Halliburton Conservatives simply believe in making money in the name of national defense. It's that simple even if it means war instead of peace, no bid contracts instead of open contracts, dead soldiers instead of living soldiers, fraud instead of honesty, etc...
To Hallibruton Conservatives, soldiers are simply staff pukes who are used as cheap labor in order to create profits for the military industrial complex. Halliburton conservatives do not care that they weaken American national security. Halliburton conservatives do not care that they endanger the lives of people in the military. Halliburton conservatives simply care about money and they use the military to make money. That's why I call them anti-troop, anti-military, and even unAmerican. You might even call them treasonous.
3. The Country Club Conservatives
Country Club Conservatives have a very simple philosophy. They simply believe that government exists to line the pockets of the top 1%, even if that means everyone else has crummy schools, no health care, foreclosed mortgages, high energy prices, crippling student loan debt, a polluted environment, unaffordable college tuition costs, crumbling roadways, etc...
Country Club conservatives are class warfare elitists who seek to make money for the top 1% at the expense of everyone else, including future generations which is why they borrow and spend.
On spending issues, country club conservatives simply want government to spend for the programs they want and spend nothing on programs that other people need. They believe govt should be used as a piggy bank to write special laws which exempt them from contributing while crushing the average man and woman.
If the agenda of the three wings of the Republican Party is exposed, they become 4th party gadflies.
John McCain represents all 3 wings of these wings of the Republican Party. The American people deserve to know this and they will know this, that's why McCain is so afraid to run against Obama.
Don’t let anyone fool you into believing that John McCain is some sort of pied piper who’s gained the unquestioning allegiance of the military and veterans’ communities. I know that’s how they like to portray it on the cable news shows, but it’s just not true. I also realize lots of Republicans have a vested interest in seeing John McCain cast as the patron saint of Militaria, but the numbers just aren’t there.
Sorry.
I took a look at the CNN exit poll results for each primary state with at least two major military installations. Of the Republican respondents who stated they had served in the military at some point, here are the percentages who voted for McCain:
VA 51%
LA 47%
CA 46%
FL 42%
OK 42%
MO 39%
GA 37%
Kind of anemic--and not what many would expect.
Conversely, here are the percentages of those Republican veterans who voted for "Not McCain":
VA 49%
LA 53%
CA 54%
FL 58%
OK 58%
MO 61%
GA 63%
Wow. Coupled with the fact that both Ron Paul and Barack Obama have raised more money from the military community than John McCain, it seems clear that there is no ongoing love affair between the military and Mr. Bomb-bomb-bomb/Hundred Years Guy.
And that’s just the empirical data. Anecdotally, everybody I talk to in the military thinks John McCain is out of touch, largely irrational, and a threat to the health and well-being of our Armed Forces.
Posted by: davefromqueens | February 19, 2008 3:32 PM
Anyone who thinks both candidates are good should vote for Obama to avoid ugliness that will occur if the two candidates are even. For Clinton to win it will have to get ugly because she has no chance to lead significantly in committed delegates, Obama can win, because of his delagate lead, without resorting to ugliness. Vote Obama to save the Democratic party.
Posted by: Ron | February 19, 2008 3:44 PM
Those Clinton cronies didn't go to jail out of love for Bill, but fear of Hillary. BOb may be wrong but HRC is evil.
Posted by: whatnow | February 19, 2008 3:44 PM
Did you see that Obama's lead has disappeared in today's Gallup tracking poll.
Posted by: Democrat08 | February 19, 2008 3:55 PM
It ain't over yet,people. Quit trying to change opinion by posting this stuff!
Posted by: JPS | February 19, 2008 4:03 PM
Obama is the right candidate because he brings with him a message of hope to people. It is time that Americans start believing in themselves, they should start believing that all men are born equal and should have equal opportunity. Obama is a true example of what one can become if one has hope.
Hillary is a smart woman, very eloquent, but she is not genuine, she is fake and she does not tell the truth. I was shocked that her campaign manager could criticise Barack Obama for using Deval's lines, which by the way are not Deval's because we all know that he also borrowed them from someone else. In saying that these words are cheap, Hillary is insinuating that those who originally used these words, had nothing important to say, they were selling cheap and meaningless hope to people. What amazes me is that Hillary herself has been using Barack's words, she never talked about "change" until she heard Barack say it, she never mentioned being "fired up and ready to go" until Barack said those words and so on and on. Even McCain is using Barack's words, I heard him say that he is "fired up and ready to go" the other day. So what does Hillary exactly want? Why can't she just accept the defeat and stop ridiculing herself? She will be more respected that way. Personally, as a woman, I would never be proud if I were to be representated by Hillary. Yes, our country is ready for change, yes the change could be a woman president, but NO that woman is definately NOT Hillary. I am only afraid that with the Clintons, one should expect anything. As Barack said, they are ready to do anything in order to get what they want, they don't care what, as long as they get what they want. I hope America will wake up and see clearly, and make the right choice.
Posted by: Isabella | February 19, 2008 4:03 PM
Ms. Clinton lost us early on w/her stand on the war. We hungrily awaited for her to see months ago I WAS WRONG! but it is noty in the Clinton vocabulary.
I still hope a woman rules the free world one day but it won't be HRC.
Posted by: E. G. Bowles | February 19, 2008 4:04 PM
i thinks im gonna vote for hillery clinten. i thinks hillery will win wissconson and eat chease and beer and celabrate viktory like me and my brother eat hambergers and beer when we wach football games. my brother is politikal expert and nfl expert and he say hillery will win most delagits in hisstery so there. go hillery
Posted by: Longhorn | February 19, 2008 4:05 PM
Obama rhetoric is full of hot air. He will not face off on a REAL debate with Senator Clinton; rather Obama has been hiding behind the race card during the last debate sound off. We better start seeing some substance from this guy soon. I am beginning to think he is all smokes and mirror.
Posted by: Peter | February 19, 2008 4:08 PM
I used to consider Obama and Clinton options 1 and 1A. I would be satisfied with either as the nominee.
Hillary's biggest liabilities are her high negative ratings and the polarizing effect she has when we need to have a President who can unite the nation. After George W Bush, this is not the time for a President that PO's half of the country from Day 1.
Hillary's campaign undermines her arguement to be President. Solutions? What has she personally solved? The biggest enterprise she ever ran is her campaign, which has blown through $140 million. Now she is underfunded compared to Obama, with no plan to compete in the field after Super Tuesday. She's desperate and negative, largely from her poor planning and execution.
Hillary is passionate about wanting to be President, but it appears America is telling her "Thank you, but no thank you."
Posted by: Bill- Hoffman Estates, IL | February 19, 2008 4:08 PM
to prantha, sam adams adn Thomas in DC. count me in.
thank you brwn skn gurl. vote democracy not dynasty, say no to CLINgONs.
Posted by: teopa | February 19, 2008 4:10 PM
I agree with Lee MacGregor. We not only have to think about bringing the country together here, but also abroad.
The Clinton machine is trying to diminish the power of words and hope and not understanding that people do something when they are inspired to do so.
I look forward to the day.
Posted by: Anonymous | February 19, 2008 4:14 PM
Clinton could win the nomination by announcing she's divorcing Bill.
And will someone please tell me what Obama will DO - besides bring "hope" and "change"? I listen closely but am not hearing issues being addressed.
Posted by: mST | February 19, 2008 4:32 PM
Just looking at your timeline and thought I'd add the point that George H.W. Bush was on the ticket with Reagan in 1980 and 1984 as well, so technically we have had either a Clinton or a Bush in the executive branch for the past 28 years. Do you think it's time for a change?
Posted by: Ellen | February 19, 2008 4:40 PM
I live just outside Washington, DC. I'm so glad there's internet and I'm only a click away from the insanity that prevals in this neck of the woods. After reading all the negativeisms that one can drum up on a very positive individual that looking for positive real change from our present administration, it is a pleasure to read a breath of fresh air that are posted from people in the Chicago Tribune.
Posted by: Craig Spotwell | February 19, 2008 4:40 PM
I must apologize for my previous post. It's just idle rambling on my part.
Yes, I know I'm a pinhead and I'll try to make more cohesive and sane arguments from now own.
Posted by: Paulo | February 19, 2008 4:41 PM
Paulo:
You mean the vast history of McCain flip flops on policy.
Just remember the Keating 5 - show that John McCain is just as big a crook as any of the Republicans.
Posted by: BobinATL | February 19, 2008 4:44 PM
Barack the vote!!!! Either way, we are witnessing history. I just hope it doesnt turn into a mudsliging fest.
Posted by: Xian | February 19, 2008 4:45 PM
"Senator Barack Obama has pledged to take up this reform in his first year as President. Senator Clinton has not. In fact, Senator Clinton, representing New York, did not participate in the events of May 1st, 2006."
I am glad Hillary didn't and that is why I am voting for her and not Obama! There are plenty of Dems against illegals, thank God!
Posted by: JKS | February 19, 2008 5:01 PM
I want universal healthcare and my vote has gone to Hillary Clinton!
Posted by: Spector | February 19, 2008 5:05 PM
If any of you clintonites think that another 4 years with Hill and Billary in the Whitehouse, God forbid 8 years, will be good for this country,then you must also believe the groundhog can predict the weather. The both of them are slime and belong down there with the groundhog. It won't mind the smell!!!
Posted by: Nighttrain | February 19, 2008 5:05 PM
Yes, Jed, it appears that the Clinton attack ads are working. That's quite a rebound in the tracking polls. So much for a positive campaign. The nasty Clintons are back, and they are in it to win it, at any cost.
Posted by: KPO'M | February 19, 2008 5:09 PM
I have voted in this country for 41 years, this is the first time I feel there's a choice. I'm a woman and I'm black. I thought this would be a Primary without negative vibes. However, now that Hillary has lost so many States, she's fired her staff and embarking on NEGATIVE campaigning. I hope Americans can see through this.
Posted by: vmac | February 19, 2008 5:13 PM
Is there anyone more snarky than an Obama supporter?
Both candidates are very well qualified and neither has knocked the other out. Both would be better than the Republican alternative.
Now may be a good time to study their respective policies and make a thoughtful choice, but please leave the snark out of it.
Both are capable and historic candidates but both will have their hands full with the mess they'll inherit.
Funny that Obama's is running a feminine campaign, that is based in emotion, hope and inclusion, while Hillary's campaign is more traditionally a masculine campaign, grounded in facts and experience.
Does it take a man to run a feminine campaign?
Posted by: Steve | February 19, 2008 5:26 PM
So, "Words Matter"...... "Except when Michelle Obama says Wrong Words about America" or when Barak plagiarizes speeches?
Then we are Supposed "To Ignore Words"? They cannot have it "Both Ways"!
Posted by: Anonymous | February 19, 2008 5:45 PM
Nice post, "Lee MacGregor".
I agree with you. Of all the candidates running, Obama's manifest morality and respect for our citizens will not only help America, but the whole world.
GO OBAMA IN 08!!!!!!!
Posted by: Bob | February 19, 2008 5:48 PM
Blah Change Blah New Blah Fresh... Same Ol Same Ol Same Ol....
Go Obama... I am sooo sick and tired of hearing about how smart he is or how he is going to change America. Only in America can you apply for a job without filling out an application.
Barack Obama.. Fresh...New.. Motivating...Hope...Trust..Change...
Ya, that'll get us through the tough times.
I love how people think lack of experience is a "lame" excuse. Bush was not experience, ran a few different companies into the ground. Now he ran this country into the ground. Lets reward people without experience and show them that they do not have to work to get where they are. That they can just get by and do good for a while 1/2.
Posted by: Marc | February 19, 2008 5:48 PM
Take a moment and think about the people you work with. Could you name one or two who have been around forever, have the seniority, but are completely incompetent?
Hilary has experience in terms of years spent in national scene and understanding the technicalities of issues. But that does not necessarily equate leadership abilities and good judgment, which is ultimately what we are looking for.
Obama is new to national scene but not politics. Look at his life you'll recognize a rich and brilliant history of public service and leadership - student president, community organizer, civil rights lawyer, state senator, US senator.
His successful campaign itself, in contrast to Clinton's with all that establishment, is also a clear testament.
Posted by: foo | February 19, 2008 5:56 PM
Has everyone lost their minds? You mean to tell me that no one remembers 46 years of democratic rule in the House and Senate? You do not remember the deficits when our government was smaller and we did not have as many social programs. If you elect Hillary or Obama all we get is higher taxes and remember Hillary in 1992 saying how she will fix health care
Posted by: Mike Joyce | February 19, 2008 8:03 PM
Is there an online petition to get Clinton to release her tax returns? Anywhere?
Her refusal makes it seem as though she is hiding something embarrassing, possibly multiple things.
Voters and superdelegates deserve to know NOW if the Clinton tax returns contain scandals that the Republicans can use against her, or scandals that would make even conscientious Democrats withdraw their support.
Clinton's refusal to release the returns also raises the specter of yet ANOTHER secretive presidency, where the public's legitimate right-to-know is considered a nuisance to be ignored and squelched.
There is no legitimate reason for her to not make her tax returns public. It is both an insult to voters and a gigantic red flag.
Posted by: AnaLu | February 19, 2008 8:39 PM
Integrity, intelligence, leadership and change! That's Obama! Go Obama! Vote Obama! He would be a great asset to this country and ALL AMERICANS!
Posted by: ELECTIONREFLECTION | February 19, 2008 10:05 PM
I also Completely agree with Lee McGregor above, and I'm too not american...I'm Egyptian, and I wish to let the americans know that all the egyptians are supporting Obama for as we believe that he will really make a Significant Change in America and in the Whole World. For the american presidents now are not only governing America, but they're affecting the whole world as well with their external political strategies and affairs. We sure hope that Bush's external strategies do not repeat itself again, for as I believe that Bush has caused much harm more than benefit to the Americans and to other nations. WE all hope that the coming president in America is much better than the current one!
We Support you Obama.
Posted by: Gehan | February 20, 2008 3:02 AM
i give thankx to hillary for trying in these elections.she is wonderful except that at this moment in time,she can not handle the present problems.only obama can try.God bless her
Posted by: cathy | February 21, 2008 11:07 PM
WAKE UP AMERICA....Osama, or is it Obama is a Muslim, no holds barred. He attended a Jihad Muslim school in Indonesia, his natural father is Muslim and his step father is Muslim, his mother is Aetheist. What has this man learned....of course he is not considered an Infadel like we are because of his Muslim background....WHAT IS WITH THE GULLIBLE PEOPLE. Perhaps they will cry when he is in the White House and allowing the terrorists free reign, 911 will seem like a piece of cake!
Posted by: Mr. Wright | February 22, 2008 3:51 PM