Sen. Hillary Clinton campaigning at Sara's Diner in Fort Wayne, Ind., on Friday. Photo by Charles Dharapak / AP
By Jim Tankersley
Scattered across the Internet are an array of tools for measuring how easy it is to understand a piece of writing. They are called "readability" tests. Most deliver their scores in grade levels. For example, the readability test in Microsoft Word says the first sentence in this paragraph reads at the 11th grade level. The second and third sentences combine to read at the fifth-grade level.
Today, we employ those tests to help explain one of the key dynamics of the Democratic presidential primaries: Hillary Clinton's success courting working-class voters.
Across the country, especially the Rust Belt, blue-collar Democrats have sustained Clinton's candidacy. Voters, analysts and political strategists trace that support to lingering affection for her husband and the economic boom of his presidency — but only in part.
They also say a range of strategies has won the New York senator working-class backing, including an economic message that she delivers in simpler terms than rival Barack Obama.
Consider the "major speeches" each candidate gave on the housing crisis last week. Obama launched his in New York with a 300-word history of the Founding Fathers' views on free markets. "In the more than two centuries since then," he said, "we have struggled to balance the same forces that confronted Hamilton and Jefferson – self-interest and community; markets and democracy; the concentration of wealth and power, and the necessity of transparency and opportunity for each and every citizen." Final readability measure: 12th grade.
Clinton began her speech in Philadelphia with a quick recounting of economic ills: a falling dollar, rising gas prices, a mortgage crisis that has become a credit crisis. "And now we face an urgent question," she said. "How do we keep today's turmoil from spiraling into a long and painful recession?" Final readability: 10th grade.
In fight for blue-collar voters, Clinton talks the talk
By Jim Tankersley
Tribune correspondent
RALEIGH, N.C. — Hillary Clinton kicked off her North Carolina primary campaign last week at a technical school that bills itself "College for the Real World." After some pleasantries and a stab at a basketball reference, she began to outline what she called "the problems that we face" as a nation.
"Our American workers work harder and are more productive than anyone," she said. "And yet for too many, here in North Carolina and elsewhere, that hard work doesn't seem to be paying off."
That same morning, Barack Obama hit New York City for a speech on America's housing crisis. He opened with a 300-word history of the Founding Fathers' views on free markets.
"In the more than two centuries since then," he said, "we have struggled to balance the same forces that confronted Hamilton and Jefferson — self-interest and community; markets and democracy; the concentration of wealth and power, and the necessity of transparency and opportunity for each and every citizen."
The difference in those speeches helps explain Clinton's success in fashioning herself the "Working Class Hero" of the 2008 Democratic presidential race.
On several scales of "readability," which measure the level of education needed to understand a piece of writing, a sampling of Clinton's speeches scored on average two grade levels below Obama's.
Typically, he speaks the language of high school seniors or college freshmen. She speaks the language of high-school sophomores or juniors — the language of the least-educated, lowest-earning voters.
Clinton makes for an unlikely modern Rosie the Riveter: a suburban-born corporate lawyer, a former first lady who never worked an assembly line, never picketed her employer. But across the country, particularly in manufacturing hubs feeling the pains of globalization, blue-collar voters have kept the New York senator's candidacy alive.
Voters, analysts and political strategists trace that support to lingering affection for Clinton's husband and the economic boom of his presidency — but only in part.
They also say a range of strategies has won Clinton working-class backing: Her focus on economic problems and solutions. The clarity of her speeches. And a personal story of trial and survival that, in its own way, hits home with many voters suffering financially this year.
"For blue collar Democratic voters choosing a candidate, the first question is usually, 'Does he or she understand my life?' " said Mark Kornblau, who advised former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.) in his unsuccessful presidential bid this year. He said Clinton has improved in that area over the course of the campaign: "I don't think it's natural, and I don't think it comes from any real life experience ... but she uses language that really describes what's going on in people's lives."
Melissa Dunston, for example. She and her husband bought a new house two years ago. She lost her job before they made the first payment. They rebounded, started a trucking company. When fuel prices shot up last year, they lost that too.
"To have been through everything she has, she really is 'I have overcome,' " said Dunston, a public school teacher's assistant who drove her niece and two daughters 30 miles to see Clinton speak in Raleigh.
Clinton's campaign doesn't have all the money it needs to keep pace with Obama, she added, "but they still make it. You think, 'I can relate to that.' "
It's not unusual for wealthier Democrats to connect with the working class, as evidenced by Franklin Roosevelt and John Kennedy. Obama has successfully courted working Democrats at times this campaign, winning majorities of them in several states with large African-American populations, along with largely white Wisconsin and fairly white Virginia, according to exit polls.
But the blue-collar vote delivered campaign-sustaining victories to Clinton in Ohio and Texas a month ago. In both states, exit polls showed her beating Obama by 15 percentage points among voters who lacked a a college degree. She also won solid majorities among those who earn $50,000 a year or less.
Those voters figure to drive upcoming primary results in West Virginia; Kentucky; Indiana and North Carolina, which vote May 6; and Pennsylvania, the next state on the calendar, where polls indicate Clinton leading handily. They're also a key piece of the Clinton campaign's electability-themed argument to "superdelegates," the Democratic elites who are all-but assured of deciding the party's nominee.
The working class "is a critical vote when superdelegates look at who's going to be a stronger candidate" against presumed Republican nominee John McCain, said Mark Penn, Clinton's chief strategist. "These are voters who in the past have gone either way in the general election."
Other analysts say Clinton's blue-collar strength doesn't necessarily suggest trouble for Obama in November.
"It's not like working-class voters are turning away from him in droves," said Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), who hasn't endorsed either candidate. "They have two good choices."
The Obama campaign says many working-class voters are getting to know him and his "record of fighting for economic fairness," including his experience as a community organizer on Chicago's South Side and his plans for the economy. As working families learn more about Obama, spokesman Ben Labolt said, "they come to support him."
Three in five Americans worry "a great deal" about the economy, a Gallup poll reported last week. A similar number of self-described "working-class" voters told the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press in February that their incomes are falling behind the cost of living.
Clinton and Obama have tried to tap those anxieties with plans to create jobs, help homeowners ward off foreclosure, rewrite free trade agreements, expand health-care coverage, retrain displaced workers and reduce families' college tuition costs.
Analysts say the candidates' delivery of those plans, more than the details, make the difference for the working class. Obama talks in broader themes of hope and change, they say. Clinton talks more specifically of problems and solutions.
For working-class voters in Ohio and Texas, "Hillary Clinton was acting like the fighter they wanted in the face of desperation," said Drew Westen, an Emory University psychology professor, political strategist and author of "The Political Brain: The Role of Emotion in Deciding the Fate of the Nation."
At Wake Technical Community College in Raleigh, Clinton emphasized her middle-class childhood and how she worked to put herself through law school. She offered a long list of proposals to soothe financially ailing Americans.
"I was impressed," said Lisa Rosen, an undecided stay-at-home mom who brought her daughter to the speech. "She seemed more real than I expected."





Comments
So how many working class folks can come up with $5M to lend themselves?
I'm guessing she really understands the working class plight...
Posted by: CTA | March 31, 2008 7:20 AM
This all points to a major problem for the Obama Campaign. namely that the Obamabots never get tired of (erroneously) pointing out that they're smarter than their opponents. There's a great way to woo supporters, 'bots, by telling them they're dumb.
Obama's rhetoric is vague and unsubstantial as it gets. "Obama talks in broader themes of hope and change... Clinton talks more specifically of problems and solutions."
In other words the working class is unimpressed with empty slogans and want to hear specific solutions to specific problems. And the Obamabots here call them dumb?
Posted by: MJ | March 31, 2008 7:28 AM
I liked the part where the Obama campaign says Obama has a record for "fighting for economic fairness"....what on earth is economic fairness...??
Posted by: Karl Graves | March 31, 2008 8:00 AM
As one, Hillary apppeals to people you like to bitch (rhymes with rich) about govt. However, she's the problem with govt. (arrogant politicians who pretend to listen during a campaign and then do what is good for their corrupt rich friends.)
Posted by: Reality | March 31, 2008 8:36 AM
I liked the part where the Obama campaign says Obama has a record for "fighting for economic fairness"....what on earth is economic fairness...??
Posted by: Karl Graves | March 31, 2008 8:00 AM
Well Karl, I guess an example of that would be when Obama voted against an amendment to the recent bankruptcy bill that would have capped credit card interest rates at 30%.
Or maybe it's his support of corn-based ethanol -- which besides being an ecological catastrophe it will drive the price of all food thru the ceiling.
Posted by: MJ | March 31, 2008 8:43 AM
I really can't see how Hillary is for the blue collar workers. Both Hillary and Obama have both promised the world to everyone but the very wealthy. This can only mean one thing and that is your taxes are going to go through the roof. That is taxes for everyone.Both are saying healthcare for everyone, and so many other programs that are going to cost billions. This money has to come from somewhere and it will not be only on the wealthy peoples back. So before you cast your ballot get some more info on your favorite candidate.
Posted by: Paul Jaeger | March 31, 2008 8:47 AM
My husband and I are not blue collar workers but Hillary is the the person we are voting for!
Posted by: Ellen | March 31, 2008 9:15 AM
Hillary's base of support is amongst these folks is not about their being "blue collar", it is probably more about their being "red necks".
Posted by: Pat | March 31, 2008 9:28 AM
Economic Fairness....I wonder if Mrs. Obama's co-workers thought it was economic fairness when her salary doubled as her husband was elected to the Senate......???
Posted by: Karl Graves | March 31, 2008 9:40 AM
Hillary gave her speech first on the economy, plain and simple language so every one could understand her solutions to our #1 problem. Obama gave 20-30 minutes of rhetoric, before he stated his solution which were the same as Hillary's only worded little different and in such a way college professors could understand. When speaking Obama forgets he is speaking not only to the higher educated who take home big paycheck, the kind of people in his circle of friend, but to the middle-class that may or may not even have jobs, or have or will lose their homes. That why Hillary can reach out to blue collar workers as well as the high educated.
Posted by: jp,michigan | March 31, 2008 9:52 AM
Obama makes too much $$ to know what the working class goes through.
Posted by: nick | March 31, 2008 9:53 AM
Obama makes too much $$ to know what the working class goes through.
Posted by: nick | March 31, 2008 9:53 AM
I got news for ya, if Clinton ever released her tax statements you'd see that her and her husband make substantially more than the Obamas, and also that there is NO politician in the national spotlight who makes anything close to a working-class salary.
One does not need to make a working class salary to understand how to manage the economy in a way that benefits the working class. Just ask FDR and Bill Clinton.
Posted by: Jones | March 31, 2008 10:13 AM
How did Hillary become a "working class hero?"
Easy answer. She didn't. She isn't.
Posted by: Bruce | March 31, 2008 10:26 AM
I would prefer a piece that compares the candidates platform planks than your own opinion as to why 'stupider' working class people like HIlary better. Is this what we can expect as she beats Obama fair and square in PA?
Why didn't the media look at John Edwards FAR BETTER platform instead of ignoring him out of the race--can you tell me that again?
Posted by: golden oldie | March 31, 2008 10:37 AM
Hillary's workin' 9 to 5
What a way to make a livin'!
Barely gettin' by
Loanin' herself 5 million!
Then when times get tough
and she can't get by with lyin'
Time to well 'em up
And start them eyes a-cryin'!
When she fakes things up
Like Bosnian sniper fire,
Makes me wanna say
Is there someone else to hire?
Posted by: groucho | March 31, 2008 10:54 AM
I regret that many AMericans fail to realize that Hillary has been honing this public personae for years, changing and rewriting her speeches, pesonality and appearance until she "found her voice" and herself. Political translation: She finally found the look and words that appeal to blue-collar workers. Too bad they don't see this.
Posted by: tony.s | March 31, 2008 11:14 AM
Hillary is a "working cclass hero" because the so-called "working class" that support her are not very bright. These are for the most part union workers who can't accept the cold hard reality that industrial unions played a significant role in industries dieing or being moved off shore. Just look at the benefit packages the auto workers have enjoyed: being paid NOT to work as part of a worker reserve? No wonder Toyota is number one. Hillary scores with them because she panders to their economic nostalgia - instead of telling them to get off their sorry backsides, quit feeling sorry for themselves, and go back to junior college or trade school and learn a new occupation. But I guess it's just easy to whine and shuffle off to that Wal-Mart job.
Posted by: Wolfgang | March 31, 2008 11:34 AM
The "working class" probably is too busy working to pay enough attention to the news and parse Clinton's lies from truths. And wait until her tax returns are made public, I'm expecting it will be about 100 levels above the pay grade of the "working class".
So the only thing the "working class" values is time spent in a position and it doesn't matter if her time has little value, the fact that she's been there matters to them.
Posted by: Ann | March 31, 2008 3:20 PM
She wasn't born into a wealthy family, unlike pResident Doogie Howser, who was "born with a silver foot in his mouth" (as Molly Ivins used to say about Shrub).
Posted by: BC | March 31, 2008 5:34 PM
Many people have commented that Bill Clinton's cell phone picture taken with that young high school girl was "creepy."
That's nothin'.
Man, take a look at Hillary's mug in the photo at the top of this story page.
Now THAT'S creepy!
Posted by: groucho | April 1, 2008 4:39 PM