Rove's trend line
by Mark Silva
Seeing as how popular Karl Rove's tracking of the state polls was here the other day -- the survey that showed Republican John McCain eroding Democrat Barack Obama's electoral-vote edge -- the new one today showing McCain eliminating Obama's advantage ought to be of real interest.
McCain now holds a slim polling advantage, counting the states by electoral votes, for the first time since early June, Rove's maps show: 227 for McCain, 226 Obama, with another 85 up for grabs in states that remain a "toss-up.''
This counts Florida (27 electoral votes) in McCain's column, with McCain drawing closer in both Minnesota (10 electoral votes) and Washington (11). McCain also has expanded his lead in several red states, including North Carolina (15).
It'll take an election to sort all this out, of course. But 50 days out, polls are all the pundits have.









Comments
These Rove maps are worthless. He only uses the most favorable state polls for McCain to give him and advantage.
http://www.political-buzz.com
Posted by: matt | September 15, 2008 5:05 PM
Ah, some more snake-oil !! It's too bad we couldn't use that oil in our autos, Rove would be an Oil Corp !! He has misled America for 8 years and now he wants America, to be fooled, again. I don't think so !! America is fed up with the Bush-Republicans and will turn them out of office, at a record pace !! Good riddance to bad rubbish !!
SUPPORT OUR TROOPS, BRING THEM HOME, ALIVE AND WHOLE. NOW.
Posted by: Don Fitzgerald, Chicago | September 15, 2008 5:10 PM
Put Rove in the headlines and watch the left-win go into hyper-hate mode.
Posted by: Terry | September 15, 2008 6:10 PM
Terry,
Wrong about the war
Wrong about the economy
Wrong about man-made global warming
Wrong about deregulation
Wrong about corporate welfare
Rove was the chief architect of the dumbing-down of America. Let us all show the love for what the master of lies and deception has given us.
The collective stupidity of the American public is astounding. That Terry and the regressives who brought you this disaster can even sleep at night, let alone try to defend the calamity they have wrought, defies all logic. Welcome to the dark ages, sheeple.
Posted by: four more years | September 15, 2008 7:41 PM
Some McCain supporters criticize Obama for not having the steel in his belly to use force in the dangerous world we live in today. Well I know this: In order to use force, you have to have force. In order to exercise leverage, you have to have leverage.
I don’t know how much steel is in Obama’s belly, but I do know that the issues he is focusing on in this campaign — improving education and health care, dealing with the deficit and forging a real energy policy based on building a whole new energy infrastructure — are the only way we can put steel back into America’s spine. McCain, alas, has abandoned those issues for the culture-war strategy.
Who cares how much steel John McCain has in his gut when the steel that today holds up our bridges, railroads, nuclear reactors and other infrastructure is rusting? McCain talks about how he would build dozens of nuclear power plants. Oh, really? They go for $10 billion a pop. Where is the money going to come from? From lowering taxes? From banning abortions? From borrowing more from China? From having Sarah Palin “reform” Washington — as if she has any more clue how to do that than the first 100 names in the D.C. phonebook?
Sorry, but there is no sustainable political/military power without economic power, and talking about one without the other is nonsense. Unless we make America the country most able to innovate, compete and win in the age of globalization, our leverage in the world will continue to slowly erode. Those are the issues this election needs to be about, because that is what the next four years need to be about.
There is no strong leader without a strong country. And posing as one, to use the current vernacular, is nothing more than putting lipstick on a pig.
Thomas Freidman
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/14/opinion/14friedman.html?em
Posted by: four more years | September 15, 2008 8:01 PM
Polls like this are fixed. I am curious about
http://www.boppoll.com
What does this spread show!
Posted by: mgultch | September 15, 2008 8:49 PM
But Obama has a lock on the all-important German vote!
Posted by: Fritz | September 15, 2008 9:28 PM
Barack Obama is the real deal. He is not at all, just, a good speaker. He has an incredibly clear plan and vision for America and our future. It is easy to say it's all just eloquent talk if you only see the slogans and listen to his soundbites about hope and change alone. Maybe you think that is all he says, it's just not true. Obama is very thorough on the issues plaguing us all and has so much to offer to get America back on it's feet if you really listen to him. McCain still doesn't have a clue and I find it interesting McCain in his own admission "supported the President over 90% of the time" yet he calls himself a 'maverick' and even has suddenly tried to sell a message of change like Obama has done for over a year now. Vote for McCain and there will be changes alright, more companies like Lehman going under forever, now that's something we would see alot more of. Don't let them point at Wall Street looking to blame someone else, Wall Street did not cause the economic crisis, investors merely responded to the failing economy created by Bush and the Republicans in Washington. Republicans like McCain who have been all loyally supporting Bush the last 8 years and Bush's disastrous economic policies. There are some very intelligent people in America, it is beyond me how any of them could gamble on another Republican liar like McCain who has so diligently supported Bush on his countless failures. Do you really think McCain will be much different than Bush? Obama deserves a chance, he has answers, he has a plan for a completely different direction for America and after listening to what he has to say, he has my vote.
Obama / Biden
Posted by: Democrats 08 | September 15, 2008 10:11 PM
4 More,
Right decision about the war based upon the intellgence data given to him.
Right about the economy and a 6 1/2 year expansion
You are correct that he is wrong on global warming since now he know believes it is man-made - it isn't (you can't even get your hatred straight).
Correct about deregulation - as was Carter, Reagan, Bush41, and Clinton.
Would that be the same corporate welfare that Clinton gave to EnRon to build a power plant in India? Is that the type of corporate welfare you are talking about. Please define that term.
Sleep well, good family, good house, retirement funding is going good, etc... I wish President Bush could get a 3rd term.
Posted by: Terry | September 15, 2008 10:57 PM
Illinois could very well be RED when the stylis hits the screen! Now on the other hand, having half a million dead people voting in Chicago for Obama may get him this state but as long as only "alive and legal" citizens are allowed to vote in Illinois, McCain will make Obama look pathetic.
Posted by: Springfield | September 16, 2008 10:28 AM
The real issue is not how well Obama or McCain might do state-by-state, but that we shouldn't have battleground states and spectator states in the first place. Every vote in every state should be politically relevant in a presidential election. And, every vote should be equal. We should have a national popular vote for President in which the White House goes to the candidate who gets the most popular votes in all 50 states.
The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC). The bill would take effect only when enacted, in identical form, by states possessing a majority of the electoral vote -- that is, enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538). When the bill comes into effect, all the electoral votes from those states would be awarded to the presidential candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
Because of state-by-state enacted rules for winner-take-all awarding of their electoral votes, recent candidates with limited funds have concentrated their attention on a handful of closely divided "battleground" states. In 2004 two-thirds of the visits and money were focused in just six states; 88% on 9 states, and 99% of the money went to just 16 states. Two-thirds of the states and people have been merely spectators to the presidential election.
Another shortcoming of the current system is that a candidate can win the Presidency without winning the most popular votes nationwide.
The National Popular Vote bill has passed 21 state legislative chambers, including one house in Arkansas, Colorado, Maine, North Carolina, and Washington, and both houses in California, Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, Maryland, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Vermont. The bill has been enacted by Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, and Maryland. These four states possess 50 electoral votes-- 19% of the 270 necessary to bring the law into effect.
See http://www.NationalPopularVote.com
Posted by: susan | September 16, 2008 7:34 PM