Obama: 'Economic storm' passing: The Swamp
The Swamp
Chicago Tribune
Posted August 1, 2009 10:15 AM

The Swamp

by Mark Silva

This week in Raleigh, N.C., the president asked an audience at a "town-hall''' appearance if they'd seen the latest cover of Newsweek at the grocery store:

"The cover says,'The Recession is Over,''' the president noted. "Now, I imagine that you might have found the news a little startling,'' he added with some laughter. "I know I did.

"Here is what's true. We have stopped the freefall. The market is up and the financial system is no longer on the verge of collapse,'' he said. "That's true. We're losing jobs at half the rate we were when I took office six months ago. We just saw home prices rise for the first time in three years, so there's no doubt that things have gotten better.

"We may be seeing the beginning of the end of the recession,'' he said, adding that "that's little comfort if you're one of the folks who have lost their job and haven't found another.''

Then, on Friday, came the quarterly report on Gross Domestic Product, still sliding during this recession that has lasted more than a year and a half. But it was off 1 percent -- not the 6-percent slide of the previouis quarter. While acknolwledging that the next montly unemployment report next week will not deliver good news, the president maintains that the tide of the economy is turning.

"In the last few months, the economy has done measurably better than expected,'' he says in his weekly radio and Internet address today. "And many economists suggest that part of this progress is directly attributable to the Recovery Act. This and the other difficult but important steps that we have taken over the last six months have helped put the brakes on this recession.

"This won't happen overnight'' the president says today. "As I've said before, it will take many more months to fully dig ourselves out of a recession - a recession that we've now learned was even deeper than anyone thought.''

See the address above and read it below:

Here is a text of the president's address:


"Today, I'd like to talk with you about a subject that I know is on everyone's mind, and that's the state of our economy. Yesterday, we received a report on our Gross Domestic Product. That's a measure of our overall economic performance. The report showed that in the first few months of this year, the recession we faced when I took office was even deeper than anyone thought at the time. It told us how close we were to the edge.

But it also revealed that in the last few months, the economy has done measurably better than expected. And many economists suggest that part of this progress is directly attributable to the Recovery Act. This and the other difficult but important steps that we have taken over the last six months have helped put the brakes on this recession.

We took unprecedented action to stem the spread of foreclosures by helping responsible homeowners stay in their homes and pay their mortgages. We helped revive the credit markets and open up loans for families and small businesses. And we enacted a Recovery Act that put tax cuts directly into the pockets of middle-class families and small businesses; extended unemployment insurance and health insurance for folks who have lost jobs; provided relief to struggling states to prevent layoffs of teachers and police officers; and made investments that are putting people back to work rebuilding and renovating roads, bridges, schools, and hospitals.

Now, I realize that none of this is much comfort for Americans who are still out of work or struggling to make ends meet. And when we receive our monthly job report next week, it is likely to show that we are continuing to lose far too many jobs in this country. As far as I'm concerned, we will not have a recovery as long as we keep losing jobs. And I won't rest until every American who wants a job can find one.

But history shows that you need to have economic growth before you have job growth. And the report yesterday on our economy is an important sign that we're headed in the right direction. Business investment, which had been plummeting in the past few months, is showing signs of stabilizing. This means that eventually, businesses will start growing and hiring again. And that's when it will really feel like a recovery to the American people.

This won't happen overnight. As I've said before, it will take many more months to fully dig ourselves out of a recession - a recession that we've now learned was even deeper than anyone thought. But I'll continue to work every day, and take every step necessary, to make sure that happens. I also want to make sure that we don't return to an economy where our growth is based on inflated profits and maxed-out credit cards - because that doesn't create a lot of jobs. Even as we rescue this economy, we must work to rebuild it stronger than before. We've got to build a new foundation strong enough to withstand future economic storms and support lasting prosperity.

Next week, I'll be talking about that new foundation when I head to Elkhart County in Indiana - a city hard hit not only by the economic crisis of recent months but by the broader economic changes of recent decades. For communities like Elkhart to thrive, we need to recapture the spirit of innovation that has always moved America forward.

That means once again having the best-educated, highest skilled workforce in the world. That means a health care system that makes it possible for entrepreneurs to innovate and businesses to compete without being saddled with skyrocketing insurance costs. That means leading the world in building a new clean energy economy with the potential to unleash a wave of innovation - and economic growth - while ending our dependence on foreign oil. And that means investing in the research and development that will produce the technologies of the future - which in turn will help create the industries and jobs of the future.

Innovation has been essential to our prosperity in the past, and it will be essential to our prosperity in the future. But it is only by building a new foundation that we will once again harness that incredible generative capacity of the American people. All it takes are the policies to tap that potential - to ignite that spark of creativity and ingenuity - which has always been at the heart of who we are and how we succeed. At a time when folks are experiencing real hardship, after years in which we have seen so many fail to take responsibility for our collective future, it's important to keep our eyes fixed on that horizon.

Every day, I hear from Americans who are feeling firsthand the pain of this recession; these are folks who share their stories with me in letters and at town hall meetings; folks who remain in my mind and on my agenda each and every day. I know that there are countless families and businesses struggling to just hang on until this storm passes. But I also know that if we do the things we know we must, this storm will pass. And it will yield to a brighter day.''

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Comments

He says--
But get in to a Super Market check out line and see the customers paying with food vouchers.


I agree with the president. The recession is over. Now, we just have to keep catastrophe events away from us. Get the swine flu under control in the next few months. . .and it will be smooth sailing.


"And many economists suggest that part of this progress is directly attributable to the Recovery Act." - Christina Romer and Larry Summers

"And I won't rest until every American who wants a job can find one." - Hope he has a lot of Red Bull - its going to be a while.

The 2Q09 results are rosy ass compared to the last two quarters, but comapare the -1% economic growth to the GDP of 2Q08 (months 5 -7 of this recession) where we had POSITIVE 1.5% growth in GDP. I woudln't say his stimulus can take much credit for this since hardly any money has been spent.


How quickly they forget!

Last October, after the release of GDP figures much better than the current ones, then-candidate Barack Obama said the shrinking economy was a reason to change administrations. "Why," he asked, "keep driving down a dead end road?" See
http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2008/10/barack_obama_drives_through_fl.html

for Obama's denoucing a 0.3% drop as unacceptable, and contrast it to his saying a 1.0% drop is "progress."

I agree with the 2008 Obama--the GDP drop proves the administration's policies have failed.


"I agree with the 2008 Obama--the GDP drop proves the administration's policies have failed."


The difference is that in 2008, Obama was saying we were going the wrong direction. He was right, as the economy totally collapsed before the election.

Now we have slowed down the pace of decline. This is an improvement.

Recovery from the destructive Reagan/Bush policies of the last 3 decades will take some time, but we have started moving in the right direction.


Obama wouldn't know the difference between the economic storm passing and passing gas.


Glad to see the haters have DSL in their mommies' basement. That truly means things are getting better.


@ Change in 2012

Failed?

The .3 percent drop from what used to be a period of growth is a failure.

A 1 percent drop after a 6 percent drop is the slow-down between the reversal of a trend.

Reversing trend -- this recession, is exactly what the Obama administration promised to do, and exactly what this data suggest it is actually doing, unless you can find some other factor to which to attribute the mitigation.


@ Terry

"I woudln't say his stimulus can take much credit for this since hardly any money has been spent."

Hardly any money? Check
http://www.recovery.gov/?q=content/investments-state

2.5 billion has already been spent in Illinois alone. Given, that's only a small part of the total 10 billion it is supposed to receive ultimately, but it is hardly "hardly any money."

Posted by: Terry


The Repimplicans have talked themselves into a rhetorical gas chamber.
They have been screaming that BHO has destroyed the American economy. (Like it wasn't already off the cliff when GWB bolted out of DC) They have been calling his solutions 'socialist', BHO a Marxist, and a terrorist sympathizer.
Well, what do you do when your assertions turn out to be naked lies?
You double down and invent new lies.
After all, if BHO succeeds then,,, socialism worked??
He who lives by the rhetorical sword dies by the rhetorical sword.


Well, well ,well...this is great news ~ now when when obama create one new job or get the economy rolling like "W" did with 52 straight quarters of economic growth and millions of new jobs???

We're waiting!

Paulo


CPK,

Out of $800 billion total spendulus bill - drop in the bucket.

For a $13 Trillion economy, you are going to say that made it turn the corner? I don't think so.


Obama claims he's "extended unemployment insurance ... for folks who have lost jobs." You should point out that this has not included unemployed Americans who have run out of unemployment insurance. They were dropped off the economy and are still left to rot at the bottom of the financial cliff.


I was in the supermarket today and there was a man in front of me, he look like an able man and he had a shopping cart full of soda pop and beer. He pulled out his wick card and then complained when the cashier charged him $2. He made her recheck everything because he felt that he was being overcharged. She told him that it was for the tax on the liquor he was buying. He took his receipt and was cussing as he left the store. The bagger told the cashier. "Gee we the tax-payer are allowing him to get his groceries free and yet he complains about 2 dollars. See what your president has done to our country." The cashier got angry and exclaimed "He's not my president"


Who believes a word this guy says anymore? This administration can't run anything, nor can it get out of its own way. There's been essentially zero of the spend-u-lous bill pumped into the economy for him to be claiming it worked (major uptick in spending starts in 2010).

But why look at the facts, right? All Repubs are bad, all Dems are good, blah-blah-blah.


"Well, well ,well...this is great news ~ now when when obama create one new job or get the economy rolling like "W" did with 52 straight quarters of economic growth and millions of new jobs???

We're waiting!"


52 straight quarters of economic growth? Give me a break. It was a paper tiger economy. It collapsed and we are in a mess now. We wouldn't be here if the great economy of Bush was so real as you proclaim across the holy land.


"Obama wouldn't know the difference between the economic storm passing and passing gas.
Posted by: Lou | August 1, 2009 5:13 PM"

'I don't know much about economics.'
'The fundamentals of the US economy are sound' (September 08; John McStupid, Republican candie for prez)


Now now Paulo; Bush was Pres. for only 32 "quarters." terri loves to brag about the 52 months--not quarters-- of (meager) growth; but that would be only 52 out of 96 months total, so I'm not impressed.


Stewie's stuffed animal,

That would be 73 months of economic growth. Fifth longest expansion in American history. Get your facts correct.

Which one of you rocket scientists were going to catch the fact that 52 quarters is 13 years - longer than a two-term president?


The innovative idea of 'a pay for outcome' will most likely prompt team approach and decision, as at Myo clinic, and the result is a greater likelihood of correctly diagnosing and effectively treating a patient earlier in the process.

Studies have documented that nearly one half of physician care in the United States is not based on best practices and that at least 98,000 Americans die of a 'medical error' each year.

Under the 'pay for outcome' pack, supposedly best practices as 'recommendations' would simply help them make a better decision, and the government won't still have to meddle in the final, actual decision-making process as a non-expert.

Thank You !


HSR,
I think 'The Mayo Clinic' needs to change it's name to something healthier.
Perhaps;
The Mustard Clinic
The Rice Cake Clinic

What d' ya think, Swampies?


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