Bill Clinton: 'Shocked' if no health care: The Swamp
The Swamp
Chicago Tribune
Posted September 22, 2009 8:15 AM

The Swamp

by Mark Silva

Bill Clinton, who failed to win the health-care reforms that he sought early in his presidency, says he will be "shocked'' if President Barack Obama fails at the health-care initiative that he is seekng early in his term in the White House.

"I'll be shocked if we don't get it,'' Clinton said in an interview with CNN's Larry King last night.

And the former president had this to say about another former president's remarks about the criticism that Obama is confronting as president -- Jimmy Carter's suggestion that the most extreme opposition is coming from people with racial prejudice.

"I don't believe that all the people that oppose him on health care and all the conservatives are racist,'' Clnton, who hails from Arkansas, said on Larry King Live. And Clinton said this about partisan politics: "In the end, the doers prevail.''

Obama, for his part, noted in his appearance on the Late Show last night that he was black before he was elected president -- eliciting David Letterman's humorous response: "How long have you been a black man.''

Both Obama and Clinton sat for tapings of the Late Show on Monday -- Clinton's appearance with Letterman will air tonight. But Clinton also sat down with the King on Monday, and their talk aired last night.

Clinton, who presided over an economic boom-time -- and who left office with the federal budget in surplus, only to see his successor, George W. Bush, set new record deficits, followed by the even higher records that Obama faces now -- suggested that the worst recession since the Great Depression will be with us for a while: "The average people need to feel this recovery,'' he said. "They're nowhere near that now.''

The former president started with a discussion of the Clinton Global Initiative, an annual meeting of donors for social action that will meet today in New York, which he has undertaken since leaving the White House. Here, courtesy of CNN, is a transcript of Clinton' and King:

KING: How is your overall appraisal?

CLINTON: It's succeeded beyond my wildest dreams. You know, when we started this meeting, it just sort of grew out of an idea that we had that at the opening of the U.N. every year, you'd have all the political leaders from around the world and you could bring business leaders and non-governmental groups, charitable groups together, but instead of just having another talking meeting, we should actually all commit to do something. People were dying to be asked to do something. At least that was the gamble.

And it turned out to be right. After the first four years, we've had 1,400 commitments. And only 20 percent of them are complete now.

They -- they're multi-year commitments. But already they've touched 200 million lives in 150 countries.

KING: We're going to...

CLINTON: It's a pretty big deal.

KING: We'll talk a lot more about it later.

All right. The president is going to address the opening session tomorrow. He did five Sunday talk shows this weekend.

Is he running a risk of being overexposed?

CLINTON: Well, you know...

KING: I mean he's everywhere.

CLINTON: If he did it every week, he would. But what he's doing now is trying to regain control over the health care debate and trying to remind people of the big things -- that we pay 50 percent more for health care than any other country; really, about twice as much as any other country; that we, unlike all other wealthy countries, don't insure everybody; that anybody who has insurance has no control over the cost or whether they'll have the insurance next year; and we don't have the best health outcomes.

So the worst thing we can do is nothing. He's trying to make the case for change while Congress works through the options to see if we can pass.

I think that it was the right thing to do, to try to gain control of this debate, because we don't...

KING: You would have done it?

CLINTON: Well, I -- I would certainly have been visible, as he was. And I think -- he may think is making up for lost time, that he let the thing drift a little bit while they were basically performing reverse plastic surgery on it.

Keep in mind, health care is complex, so it's easy to misrepresent.

It's deeply personal, so it's easy to spark fear. And there's lots of money in it and a lot of it doesn't go to better health care. And the people that get that money don't want to give it up.

So it's hard to change. But I -- I think we're going to get a bill this time.

KING: You do?

CLINTON: I do, because...

KING: Well, you've got 60 votes.

CLINTON: Yes, we've got -- the main thing is we have 60 votes. And it's going to be much harder to filibuster than it was for me. When Senator Dole decided that he would try to kill any health care measure, all he had to do was hold 41 of 45 Republicans.

Now the -- they have to hold 100 percent of the Republicans and get somebody else, assuming there will be a senator appointed to replace Senator Kennedy.

KING: You figure he's going to get one?

CLINTON: That's what I think. I'll be shocked if we don't get it.

KING: How do you think the presidency, in this short a period of time, has worn on him?

CLINTON: Well, I see him in a little different context, you know, because...

KING: You've been there.

CLINTON: I've been there, because Hillary is in the cabinet; because he has been kind enough to, you know, ask me to come down and give a briefing about my trip to North Korea; because he asked me to lunch last week and we talked about mostly the economy.

And I can tell that it has worn on him. And he knows it's -- it's a very difficult job. And it's a deciding job. And all the easy decisions get made before you. They give you a one-pager and you check off. So you only get to make the hard decisions. And -- and he's got a lot of hard ones.

But I think he's also growing into the job, as I did -- as nearly everybody does. Nobody shows up just ready to be president.

KING: Is his inexperience showing a lot more than others, though?

He's never governed a state.

CLINTON: Well, not necessarily, because he's got a lot of experienced people around him. And, you know, I think that he's -- he's worked like crazy and he's very smart. I mean, you know, President Kennedy never governed anything. He had been in Congress longer, but he had never governed anything.

The main thing is, for every president, to make an honest assessment of what your strength and weaknesses are and then try to appoint people who will complement your strengths by compensating for your weaknesses.

And that's what we all try to do.

And you really can't tell until, you know, like a couple of years pass, as to how it all works. But it looks to me like he's working through this pretty well. I think he's still got a lot of other issues. You know, there are still a lot of economic issues still left to deal with. There's -- there's this whole energy question and whether we can get climate change legislation that grows the economy and reduces our greenhouse gas emission.

But -- but he's highly intelligent, he's well-motivated, he's trying to do the right thing and he can keep a lot of balls in the air at the same, which is exceedingly important in a complicated time.

KING: Now let's discuss some other things. According to everything we've heard, he has asked the governor of New York not to seek election

-- he wasn't elected, he was lieutenant governor.

You're a citizen of New York.

What do you make of that?

CLINTON: Well, first of all, I have no direct knowledge of it. The governor is a friend of mine and Hillary's. I know he's in political trouble, but he's done a better job than he's got credit for, I think, in some ways. He's gotten -- he got really hurt by all of that mess with our legislature.

And I think given the unusual circumstances under which he took office and the terrible conditions -- he's really done some good things, for which I hope he gets credits, whether he runs for re-election or not.

But in the end, that's a decision that he has to make. And I think he will do what he thinks is right for the people of New York.

KING: Were you surprised?

If true, were you surprised that the president would ask him to do that?

CLINTON: Well...

KING: Would you have done that?

CLINTON: Well, I don't know if he did. I don't know what the facts are. So until I do, its hard to comment. I think -- the only thing I ever did. Look, the president is the leader of the Democratic Party.

The Democratic Party has an interest nationally and progressives generally don't want to lose the governorship of New York, for goodness sake. I get that. And these are tough conditions for incumbents to run in.

But my -- when I was involved, the most I ever did was to say that if somebody decided not to run and they wanted to continue in public service, I'd find something for them to do, because I think there a lot of good people who, for reasons beyond their control, can't be re-elected. And...

KING: So you are saying you'd offer Patterson a quid pro quo, like if he was...

CLINTON: Yes, but that I don't think he wants that. He has given no indication that he is looking for that. But I think you have to be careful -- you know, the race is, in a funny way, trying to clear out the way for the Senate and the House. I think that people understand the White House being more active there than in a state race like a governorship.

But the truth is, I can't criticize either one of them. I think Patterson is in a tough spot, but he's done a better job than he's gotten credit for. So he's done some good things. I think that he will do what he thinks is right for the people of New York, in the end -- and for himself. I think the President, understandably, wants to hold onto the governorship of the fourth biggest state in the country.

KING: Republican Congressman Joe Wilson's "You lie" outburst -- we'll get President Clinton's reaction, after this.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KING: The President will meet tomorrow with Netanyahu on a bus.

Here we go -- how many meetings you had, your predecessors, people after you.

Are we ever going to get something concrete in the Middle East?

CLINTON: Well, I -- first, it's more up to them than it is up to President Obama. I mean, the parties make peace. I got a lot of credit for making the peace in the Middle East -- I mean in Northern Ireland.

What I did was to try to create the conditions that make peace possible and to minimize the risks of doing it. The same thing we did in Bosnia.

But in the end, only the parties can make peace.

If you look at the long term strategic trend, there ought to be a peace agreement. From the point of view of the Palestinians, they have been too poor too long and they're only poor at home. Every time they go anywhere else in the world, they do great. So if they had their own state and they had stability and peace and investment, they'd do great there.

And if the Israelis and the Palestinians ever cooperated together, based on the performance of Palestinians in other parts of the world, they would maybe be the powerhouse of the 21st century in the Middle East.

For the Israelis, I think it's important because the numbers are moving against them. If they don't create a Palestinian state, then sooner, rather than later, they'll have to make a decision -- well, is Israel no longer to be a majority Jewish state or will they disfranchise the Arabs in the West Bank and Gaza and make it a non-democracy?

Furthermore, these rockets which led to the incursion into Gaza were maddening and frustrating to the Israelis. But frankly, they weren't very accurate. It's only a matter of time until their accuracy improves. So the technological trend line is not in favor of Israel intransigence. They need a...

KING: So it's in the interests of both of them?

CLINTON: Yes. They need a partner in the Middle East, the Israelis do. And they need a world committed to their security.

KING: And what...

CLINTON: So that -- for those reasons, you know, I think there is a fair chance that we'll get a peace agreement.

KING: What part does Obama play?

CLINTON: Well, what he and the secretary of State and...

KING: I've heard of her.

CLINTON: ...and George Mitchell, the envoy, what they all have to do is keep looking for the formula that will get the negotiations started again. That is, they recognize what the problems that the Palestinians will have, what the political problems the Netanyahu government has, the prime minister and they recognize that both sides will try to get as much they can out of the U.S. And anybody else that's in the quartet -- the E.U. The Russians, (INAUDIBLE) trying to get them in there.

I think if we could just get them to start talking again around the two state solution, around restoring a sense of normalcy and creating a Palestinian state, I think you'd be surprised how quickly, at least, they would come down to all the same issues that they were down to in 2000 when I made my proposal and then Prime Minister Barak, now the defense minister, said yes and Mr. Arafat didn't.

I mean there's -- there's not a nickel's worth of difference in what the options are here. It's just a question of whether they're ready to take them.

KING: All right, switching gears. Congressman Joe Wilson, he yells, "You lie." Since then, President Carter says racism is at the bottom of all this uproar.

Where do you -- what do you feel?

CLINTON: I believe that some of the right-wing extremists which oppose President Obama are also racially prejudiced and would prefer not to have an African-American president. But I don't believe that all the people that oppose him on health care and all the conservatives are racist.

And I believe if he were white, every single person who opposes him now would be opposing him then.

Therefore, while I have devoted my life to getting rid of racism, I think this is a fight that my president and our party -- this is one we need to win on the merits. And so, I understand why it's frustrating because the Congressman was from South Carolina and South Carolina is noted in the Republican Party for having Bob Jones University and for the...

KING: The Dixie flag

CLINTON: ...the Dixie flag, the messy primary with John McCain and President Bush in 2000.

But I really think that we should disaggregate lingering problems of discrimination from the attacks to which the president is subject. The ones that have a race -- an obvious racial overtone, you can see that's coming from an extreme right-winger who also has racial prejudice.

But we have to win this health care fight on the merits. And that's what the president said. He's absolutely right about it. I respect President Carter for his concern about this. But this is a fight about whether we are going to basically keep making excuses for -- for being the only wealthy country in the world that can't figure out how to ensure everybody, can't figure out how to get decent health outcomes compared to our competitors and insist on paying twice as much as anybody else does.

Now, if we want to keep doing that, we can do. I'd rather have that fight right now. And that's the fight President Obama wants. And I think he made the right decision.

KING: So was President Carter wrong?

CLINTON: There's no wrong or right on this. I think that if you're a white Southerner and you've been involved as long as Jimmy Carter has, as long as I have; if civil rights was essentially the cause of your life that drove you into politics; you're exceedingly sensitive to anything that sounds racially prejudiced.

But you can't -- but if you're president, you have to be exceedingly sensitive to the fact that not everybody who disagrees on you on health care has a -- has a racist bone in their body. Some of the extremist do, but most of them don't. This -- let me put it this way. If Barak Obama were a white president, I believe virtually 100 percent of the people who oppose him on health care today would oppose him on health care anyway.

So, I don't want to say that President Carter is wrong about there being some still racial prejudice involved in the opponents of President Obama, but this fight is a fight which would exist no matter the color of his skin is because of the -- look what happened in '93 and '94 to me. I mean the right has never wanted -- they didn't want Medicare, they didn't want Medicaid, they didn't want...

KING: They didn't want Social Security.

CLINTON: ... The Children's Healthcare Program, they didn't want social security. And they somehow believe that, miraculously, we should be the only rich country in the world that can't figure out how to cover everybody and keep shoveling, literally, $900 billion a year at health care.

You think about how much our deficit is today. Think about how much we're at a competitive disadvantage with other countries in manufacturing. We are throwing $900 billion a year at health care that has nothing to do with good health and doesn't even cover everybody.

So the people that are getting the big chunk of that money don't want to give it up and they're ready to stoke all these fires. That's the fight Barack Obama wants. He wants to fight this on the merits.

And I respect that and he's right about it.

KING: He's always a great guest.

More with Bill Clinton in 60 seconds.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KING: Afghanistan -- first, they're calling it Obama's war now.

Two, "The Washington Post" reports that the U.S. commander, General McChrystal, says we need more forces there. Apparently, the president has taken a step back on that.

What should we do?

CLINTON: Well, first, in any situation like this, when you inherit an ongoing military conflict -- and particularly if you supported it in the beginning, as the president did and as the secretary of State did, as I did, as the overwhelming majority of the American people did after the Afghans gave -- the Taliban government gave sanctuary to Al Qaeda and Osama bin Laden after 9/11 -- you always -- you've basically always got a version of three options.

You can ramp up your presence politically -- militarily and politically and economically. And if -- if he does that, it really, clearly, then becomes his war. And you run the risk that it won't work and in the end you'll still have to withdraw.

Or you can cut down. You can say this is not going to work because local people have to win this fight. If you do that, right now, in all probability, it will create a vacuum and the Taliban influence will certainly increase. And if you do that, you run the risk that you lose leverage in dealing with Iran, in dealing with the Middle East peace process, in having other people think you're serious...

KING: So...

CLINTON: ... And you may create a greater opportunity for the Taliban and the Al Qaeda, particularly, to come back and operate in Afghanistan and have more options to planned, unfettered actions against the United States, Europe and others.

The third thing you can do is try to do a better job with what you've got. That is, you keep, essentially, the numbers you've got, but you make a commitment to do a better job protecting the population centers and you give the CIA a little more juice, which is what they've been doing.

KING: You've laid out the case well.

CLINTON: Yes. It's...

KING: What do you do when you're president...

CLINTON: So when...

KING: ...when your general says we need more?

CLINTON: Well, what I think -- what I think he's doing now is saying OK, I hear you, but we learned one thing. The surge worked in Iraq.

Why?

Because the local Iraqis were sick of the Al Qaeda in Iraq -- sick of them. And the Anbar revival happened because our surge dovetailed with the local efforts, OK?

KING: Yes.

CLINTON: So my guess is that he will say, you may be right, general, but we still have this ongoing election count. Let's wait until that happens. Let's have it -- let's see what the new government's going to be. Let's see if both the top two finishers are going to be in the government -- which is a possibility -- and if that means there's going to be more broad-based support, because we got everybody together after the election was over, then it's clear that more soldiers will be even more effective.

Keep in mind, the real lesson of Vietnam, I think, that has somehow been lost -- a lot of people think that we lost in Vietnam because we quit, because we didn't up the ante enough, we didn't send another 100,000 troops in or whatever.

The real lesson, I always thought, is you can't beat somebody with nobody. In other words, the grassroots people who embraced the Vietcong or the North Vietnamese -- or at least didn't fight against them, weren't willing to put their lives on the line to beat them -- did not believe they had a local government in South Vietnam that was sufficiently better to run the risk of that.

KING: Yes.

CLINTON: So what I think President Obama will want to do is to let this election settle down, make it clear what the victor is. And if President Karzai is declared the victor, notwithstanding the allegations of irregularities, what he does with his main challenger and where we go from here. Then, I think, he'll be in a better position to pick between those three options.

So my guess is that what he's saying is not to the general. I don't think he said no. Look, all I know about this is what I read in the paper. Like, I should tell you, I have not gotten any personal insight from either the president or the secretary of State on this.

But just reading the paper, my guess is he has not decided on no, he just wants to hold his fire a little bit until he sees how -- what the political lay of the land is in Afghanistan and where we can go and what our leverage is.

This is not going to be won by military force alone. And you've got the CIA going all out there, doing everything they can do. And I think we're going to be better at development than we've been in the past.

And I think it will get more support among the Afghans.

But before he commits more soldiers and the obvious consequences that that entails, my guess is he just wants to see what's going to be possible to do with the political climate.

KING: President Clinton secured the release of American journalists Laura Ling and Euna Lee.

We'll ask him about it.

Don't go away.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KING: We're going to talk a little more about the Global Initiative, of course.

CLINTON: OK.

KING: But one other thing in this area and that's North Korea.

What was it like to take those two girls out?

CLINTON: It was humbling and it was a wonderful feeling. They're

-- they're really fine young women. And they...

KING: It was a done deal, right?

CLINTON: Well, it was -- basically, the proposal was that if there were no glitches, if I would come and get them, he would let them go.

But they really wanted me to come. And I -- and I thought it was interesting, because I had two strong conversations -- confrontations with the North Koreans in my eight year period.

KING: I remember.

CLINTON: But we also made some real progress and -- and I developed respectful relations with Kim Jong Il and with his father, Kim Il Sung, because I was very direct with them, very straightforward, no ambiguity, but I never tried to humiliate them in public. I just let them know where we were and what was important and what we were prepared to do to help them.

And so, for whatever reason, they wanted me to come. So that was a

-- the families asked me and then I told them that I couldn't go unless the president and the administration approved it -- that as a former president, it would not be appropriate for me to do that. So they debated that.

Al Gore was, meanwhile, trying to go back and forth between the families because the girls worked for him -- the young women worked for him.

And I must say, I thought everybody did a very professional job in reaching the decision, in not leaking the story, the whole nine yards.

Then when I went, I found it utterly fascinating. Now, I have not talked a great deal about what was said. I spent several hours with the leader of North Korea. I found him alert, in better health than most people thought and clearly in command of the situation and clearly interested in whether there was some positive outcomes -- more positive than the ones that are generated by their policies today.

But beyond that, I think I shouldn't say anything, because I don't have any policymaking authority anymore.

KING: Yes.

CLINTON: And I don't want to inadvertently constrain the president's options.

I do think he's done a good job, by the way, President Obama, in getting the Russians and the Chinese to work together to try to constrain the ability of the North Koreans to get nuclear -- essential nuclear materials in, or nuclear technology or weapons out of North Korea. They've done a good job on that.

KING: Back with more of President Bill Clinton after this.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KING: We've gotten a ton of tweets about you.

(LAUGHTER)

I don't know about that. Anyway, we'll break it all down a little later. But I want to talk about the Global Initiative.

You say more than 1,400 pledges of action of $46 billion have been made and improved the lives of 200 million people. What's its biggest obstacle? When you run into them, has the economy affected it?

CLINTON: It has, not so much this year. We actually have almost exactly the same number of people coming as paying members this year as last year. We've had more specific commitments made, although for a slightly smaller amount of money because the most expensive of these commitments -- this $46 billion is somewhat misleading.

Thirty billion dollars of that was in energy projects, because the big solar projects and the big wind projects, you know, are quite expensive. But -- so it wouldn't be -- it's not surprising there's not that much capital. But what I think has hurt us the most is commitments that the people thought in good faith they would fund over three years or over five years, they may have had to stretch it out more. And it's just slowed things down a little bit.

But still, you know, we've had -- healthcare is better for 48 million kids, education is better for 10 million, 12 million more children have access to safe drinking water. I mean, we've really been able to do some very significant things just by putting people in poor countries who do this work together with businesses and non-government groups from rich countries, and having unusual partnerships.

We just try to get things done faster, quicker, better, cheaper.

KING: What percentage of what you do helps Americans?

CLINTON: I should know, but I don't. But quite a bit, actually.

For example, this year, we have a commitment from an NGO -- here, actually, I wrote it down. May I look?

KING: No.

CLINTON: Yeah, I can.

(LAUGHTER)

Called Hello Wallet.

KING: Hello Wallet.

CLINTON: Hello Wallet. To give free financial advice to 10,000 Americans who live in affordable housing, that is, they're very modest incomes, and a lot of them are in trouble. So we did that.

We have done work in the Katrina area. I think that you're going to see some commitments in the Mississippi Delta this year. We've had some people make commitments on Native American reservations. And we've had anything from clean energy to providing micro credit.

So we've actually done pretty well in America. I think this year there may be even more because of the economic adversity.

KING: The 42nd president of the United States is with us. More of Bill Clinton after the break.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KING: Now you said in a speech in Peru earlier this year you believe the modern world can be overwhelmingly characterized by one word, interdependence. And most Americans don't seem comfortable with that. It sounds like well, interdependent means they can have something to say about us.

You didn't mean that, right?

CLINTON: No. What I meant by interdependence is it can be good and bad -- good or bad or both. Interdependence means that divorce is not an option. That is, whether we like it or not, the problems of one country spill over into another.

I'll give you an example. We and the Chinese together probably account for nearly half of the world's greenhouse gas emissions. So we're out there on the front lines of global warming. But Australia today is the hardest hit country and Africa will be next hardest hit.

I'll give you another example. The world's biggest rainforests are in the Amazon, in Indonesia and in the Congo River Basin. If they're torn down, they'll have an impact on global warming everywhere. If people die of AIDS because they can't get medicine, that will lead to a sense of desperation and social chaos that we may be called upon to deal with in Africa and elsewhere.

On the other hand, even when people were mad at America over the Iraq War, President Bush and America's population never waned -- popularity never waned in several countries in South and Eastern Africa, where they knew America, through our commitment to AIDS and malaria fighting, through the Bush administration's policies in groups like the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the works that we do there in my foundation.

So interdependence simply means whether we like it or not, we can't escape each other. And, therefore, we have to build a world where we share the benefits and the responsibilities.

KING: Did you...

CLINTON: And it means we can't afford -- you asked me that question about President Obama's race. I think the reason he got elected, in part, was people thought we didn't have time to obsess about our differences anymore. We're a multi-racial, multi-ethnic, multi-religious country and we should be able to celebrate our identity and respect our differences.

But I think people get that we're interdependent and that's why there's such a low tolerance level today for obsessing about our relatively superficial identity differences.

KING: Superficial. Yes. Yet...

CLINTON: Genetically, you know, we're all 99.9 percent the same.

There was a huge scientific debate in the last year about whether the original conclusion that we were 99.9 percent the same genetically was right, when the human genome was sequenced. But whether, alas, they made a terrible mistake and we're only 99.5 percent the same.

Now, from a health care point of view, it could be quite significant, since there's three billion genome. But from a political and social point of view, it doesn't amount to a hill of beans. You just think about every difference you can see between two human beings, even gender, is based on, at a maximum, a half of 1 percent of their genetic makeup.

KING: Speaking of that, you told me once that my kids, 10 and 9 now, will definitely live to be 100.

CLINTON: I think they will, unless -- if they escape accidents.

KING: Yes, I know.

CLINTON: Or crimes or acts of God, you know, natural disasters, or they don't have some totally unmanageable genetically predetermined health problem, I think by the time they are old enough to be at risk of any kind of cancer, I think that the Americans -- and I hope people all over the world -- will be able to go into diagnostic chambers and just stand there, where nanotechnology diagnosis we'll be able to see what are now sub-microscopic tumors and you'll be able to zap them right out.

I think within 20 years I'll be shocked if women still have to have mastectomies when they have tumors, unless they just don't get diagnosed in time. I think that we'll be able to see people where strokes are building and we'll be able to have very sophisticated measurements of pressures on blood vessels and things like that and be able to treat it before people have cerebral hemorrhages, before people have strokes.

So I think that -- I expect the life expectancy of people under 15 today to be well over 90 years.

KING: President Bill Clinton is our guest. Back in 60 seconds.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ANDERSON COOPER, CNN ANCHOR: Larry, at the top of the hour, the lies of John Edwards. We've known for a year now that he was having an affair while running to be president but now another possible lie and questions about whether campaign funds were used for hush money.

Also Afghanistan at a crossroads. General Stanley McChrystal says he needs more troops along with a new strategy or he says the mission will fail. Michael Ware, Peter Bergen and Rory Stuart join us for a reality check.

And Phillip Garrido, the man accused of kidnapping Jacey Dugard believed he had invented a mysterious box, a black box which allowed him to channel god, he believed, and that box which eventually led police to discover his decade-long secret. We'll show you the box for the first time. It is a window into a very twisted mind.

Now back to LARRY KING LIVE.

KING: Did Global Initiative get involved in health?

CLINTON: Absolutely. We do a lot of work on health. But keep in mind, we do most of our work on health among low income people in America who need basic health care and in developing parts of the world, where, you know, like my foundation does, too.

We give two thirds of the poor children in the world who get AIDS medicine get it through our health contracts and our foundation. Half of all the adults get it through our contract. So -- and the Global Initiative has done an amazing amount of work on clean water, particularly.

Matt Damon, the actor, is a very, very serious leader in this global clean water endeavor. It's really impressive, since a billion people never get to drink a clean glass of water. It's a huge deal. And -- and if global warming continues, there will be, relatively speaking, less water per person. And you're going to have huge problems over water.

KING: A billion people can't get...

CLINTON: Yes. A billion people. But Procter & Gamble, for example, has developed a little packet that costs 50 cents that will clean up enough water that it can be -- that it's drinkable for a family of four for two or three days and that's the great thing about our global -- I want to say this, too.

They have had partnerships with big groups like UNICEF or big donor groups, but they can accept small donations. So we had a guy on -- we have a -- a Web site that covers the Global Initiative. And we had a person e-mail in and said I'll give you $10 and I can buy 20 of those packets.

And so we try to break it down so people -- everybody can participate at some level or -- you know, some amount of time, some amount of money.

KING: How many people work for the Global Initiative? I mean salaried people?

CLINTON: I don't know, probably 60.

KING: That's all?

CLINTON: I think so. Maybe a little more. I don't know. Listen, I have 1,400 people work for the foundation.

KING: Based in New York?

CLINTON: Not all. No. We have hundreds working for our AIDS programs and our climate change programs overseas.

KING: President Bill Clinton still with us. Stay with us.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KING: Bipartisanship -- is it over?

CLINTON: No, but, you know, it takes two to tango. And on these things, keep in mind, when I was president, I -- I really, I got some report after the first two years that I had more support among Democrats even than Lyndon Johnson enjoyed and unanimous opposition among Republicans on most things.

That is, Newt Gingrich clearly -- orchestrated a just-say-no strategy. And since at that time, the American people didn't understand that a filibuster in the Senate with a small minority, 41, could kill anything but a budget, the failure of health care depressed our turnout and the fact that I passed the assault weapons ban and the Brady Bill and I passed the budget inflamed their base. So they had a higher turnout, we had a lower one and we took a terrible whipping in '94.

So it looks to me like they think they can replay that now. Now I disagree with that. I disagree with it for two reasons. One is it's hard to keep running the same dog up the same track. People get smart about it. And they had eight years of what would happen.

Secondly, the country is different now. I think the Republicans should be trying to get an innovative, positive health care bill through and then I think they should try to get an innovative, positive energy bill through and guarantee that we can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve the economy.

But they apparently think it's better to try to deny the president an achievement. And they apparently believe they can then run the same argument in the press they did on me in '94.

But in the end, the doers prevail, just as they did in the '90s.

The people that do prevail.

KING: Most -- a lot of Tweeter questions are asking about your health. There were tabloid stories saying you had Parkinson's Disease.

CLINTON: You know why that is?

KING: Why?

CLINTON: Have you ever noticed my left hand shakes sometimes. It's shaking a little bit today, see? Not much, just a little. And when I'm tired or -- more tired, excuse me -- it sometimes shakes more. I noticed this a couple of years ago. So I actually went to my doctor and he got me with a specialist and they tested me for Parkinson's. I said look, if I've got this, I want to know, I want to manage it.

Then he said you absolutely do not. And the first thing that -- the guy tested me. And then he said, it's worse when you're tired, isn't it? I said, yes. He said, when people get older, they quite often have a tremor in their hands, a little tremor. And that...

KING: Now you're giving it to me.

CLINTON: He said you just have to fight it. He said, you have to, you know, keep your grip strong and avoid spasm muscles. And he said try to get enough sleep. But he said you don't have a Parkinson's problem.

So I -- I'm living and breathing for an end to the Parkinson's problem. I hope that the Human Genome Project will do it for Michael J.

Fox, for Janet Reno, for all the friends I've had who have dealt with Parkinson's. But I -- apparently I don't...

KING: It ain't you.

CLINTON: Apparently I don't have it. No.

KING: How is your heart?

CLINTON: As far as I know it's OK. On my last medical exam, I got a good report.

KING: Are you happy with Hillary and her office?

CLINTON: Oh, yes. I'm very proud of her.

KING: Is she liking it?

CLINTON: Yes, but it's hard. You know, we -- we were joking over the weekend when we were taking our daily walk that we do when she comes home on the weekend. You know, when you get a little older, those 60 and 70 hour weeks get a little longer. And she's traveled over 110,000 miles this year.

But I'm proud of her. I'm honored that she got the chance to serve. She's got some high-class problems to deal with.

KING: Yes. She was asked...

CLINTON: But I think she'll be quite successful when it's all said and done.

KING: She was asked in Africa about you and she looked a little offended that hey, I'm the secretary of State.

CLINTON: Yes. I think I got it. I think that -- I think that she thought we didn't hear the guy's tone of voice or quite understand it.

But I would -- I did an interview a couple of years ago when I was in Africa and severely jet lagged and tired.

And I got asked one of those like edgy questions like that and I gave sort of a -- I gave an answer that was about four degrees too hot.

So I just would have to say to everybody listening, when you see any political figure or any public figure answer any kind of semi-controversial question from a long way away, you have to look at him and ask if there's any possibility they were jet lagged and, if so, you probably ought to cut them a little slack.

(LAUGHTER)

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KING: A couple of quick things. Is Bernanke right? Is the recession over?

CLINTON: I'd say, from economic textbook point of view, he is probably right. Now, not enough timelessness, so I don't think we've had two quarters in a row of positive growth.

KING: That's the measure.

CLINTON: Yes, that's the measure. But I - my belief is that we will have that. The problem is that in a - even in a less severe recession, typically what happens is the stock market goes up for six months. That's happened. Then you have the economy growing numerically for six months.

Then and only then do you have substantial hiring. And sometimes people are so nervous they don't hire, and so you're going to slip back into a slowdown. So I think for the American people this recession will not be over until the unemployment rate is back certainly under 8 percent, maybe under 7 percent, until we're creating jobs again.

And I think that that's the dilemma facing the president's economic team because this is the dilemma Franklin Roosevelt faced.

KING: Yes.

CLINTON: Because contrary to what a lot of people think, most of us Democrats are fairly prudent fiscally, and President Obama would like to bring this deficit down. But when Roosevelt did it in '37, it was a little too soon, so he went back into -- not into the full-scale depression, but back into a serious recession.

So the trick for him is the -- how long to let this stimulus of the deficit spending play out and when to shut it down. And I think the answer is the sooner we can shut it down, the better, but we can't do it until we really got job growth underway again. Average people need to feel this recovery. They're nowhere near that now.

KING: Always good.

CLINTON: Thank you.

KING: I'll be over to Global Initiative, as always.

CLINTON: Thanks for coming. And I hope people will follow it over the Internet.

KING: And thank you for your kind remarks about my book.

CLINTON: It was wonderful. Everybody ought to read that. The childhood and the days in Miami, I would kill for. I just -- great.

KING: Thank you.

CLINTON: Thank you.


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Comments

The Democratic claim that they will help to pay for the health bill by eliminating the $500 billion in waste, fraud and abuse in the current system.

It is my opinion that we do not need a new bill to attack this problem, it should be accomplished immediately, while the politicians debate.

But then we have heard the waste, fraud and abuse claims from both Republicans and Democrats ovr the years and neither side did anything about it!


Mark, your understanding of history is rather poor. Those "boom times" under Clinton you noted, basically ran from 1996-2000, largely because of the strength of the Tech bubble. That Tech bubble burst in 2000, did it not? Didn't the NASDAQ crash in 2000 with the Dow to follow? Then the 2001 recession hit, correct? With that, those budget "surpluses" were gone even BEFORE Bush became president.
Also, Mark, President Clinton fought against balanced budgets in 1994-1996. He and his administration kept saying balanced budgets would be bad. It was the Republicans and their Contract with America in 1994, and subsequent winning of Congress in 1994, along with the Tech boom in the late 1990s that caused those budget surpluses.
If you don't know or understand history, how can you accurately report it?


Posted by: Pat H | September 22, 2009 8:24 AM


Just a question to think about. We have been fighting terrorism for some time now. it is still around. Should we stop?


History:
Clinton left the first budget surplus in decades.
Bush left a record deficit.
Congress committed and spent the money.
The presidents permitted it.
A Republican-run Congress ran up the deficits that Bush permitted and increased with off-the-budget war spending.
The Contract with America is history, long gone.


History: during what Mark Silva calls the boom times of the mid to late 1990s, the Republicans controlled Congress. It can be said that at the end of Clinton's presidency the Republican Congress, more than Clinton, left a budget surplus.

I think it's fair to say that during the Bush presidency both Republicans AND Democrats in Congress spent too much. President Bush should get his share of the responsibility for signing off on that spending.

I think it's also fair to observe that the new Democrat president, and the new Democrat Congress, is racking up trillion dollar deficits far in excess of anything we've seen the last 8 years.

It is curious that people who profess to be concerned over deficit spending support politicians whose policies have been, are, and will continue to increase both federal spending and the deficit. As the Washington Post noted, "In the first independent analysis, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office concluded that President Obama's budget would rack up massive deficits even after the economy recovers, forcing the nation to borrow nearly $9.3 trillion over the next decade... Obama's policies would cause government spending to swell above historic levels."


BillyBob was shockingly self-indulgent and disorganized.

Handed over the heavy lifting on his attempt at health care to Hillary, for Chrissakes.

Sex with the pizza girl.

I really don't know why he's listened to.

The President's name is Obama.


Obamacare, most waste and fraud ever if Congress falls for it, and don't forget their pockets.


Still can't figure out Bill Clinton's activity and remarks in this Obama fracas.


Since Mark Silva is in Bill Clinton mode today, here's two Clinton-related items from today's headlines that Mr. Silva somehow missed:

Gallup Poll (usually the Swamp's favorite to cite): Only Clinton rated lower than Obama at this point in his presidency.

From "Mother Jones": Bill Clinton on Al Gore: “I Thought He Was in Neverland”. Bill Clinton on Jimmy Carter: “Carter always criticizes, but he doesn’t have much positive to say.”

Great stories, full of human interest. Both show Dems in a bad light. Both spiked, so far.

The modern death-wish media is distinguished more by what it DOESN'T write about, than what it DOES.....


With Inky weak is the force. To the dark side has he turned. A Jedi will he never be.


Pat H., I think you bring up a very good point. Whether or not any health care bill is passed, fraud and waste should be eliminated from Medicare. You want to know the reason it is not a separate issue? Because then Democrats couldn't claim the "set-off" from savings as part of their health bill. They need that to be able to claim that any bill is "deficit neutral".


i wish he was still president
check out my Bill Clinton blog
http://adugan-billclintonblog.blogspot.com/


“History:
Clinton left the first budget surplus in decades.”
*****
Posted by: Mark Silva | September 22, 2009 8:42 AM
.
Mr. Silva,
.
The Clinton administration added approximately $1.5 trillion to the debt (calculated on the basis of budgets passed during his administration). The federal government added to the debt every year that Clinton was in office - including his last two years in office when he supposedly managed miraculous budget surpluses. Thus, Clinton’s so-called budget surpluses were nothing more than sleight of hand and creative accounting.
.
In fact, the last President to preside over a reduction in the Debt was Dwight D. Eisenhower. That took place in 1956 and 1957.
.
So, Mr. Silva, one has to ask: If the Debt increased every year Clinton was in office notwithstanding his so-called “budget surplus,” what good was it, and why do people (including you) still crow about it?
.
In case you doubt my data regarding the Debt, go to http://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLogin?application=np and check it yourself. Look particularly at http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt.htm.


JW,
You're mixing two terms: One is the federal debt. The other is the annual budget deficit. There is no question that the accrued federal debt has increased from year to year. It did during Clinton's time, when there were several years of deficit spending, and it did during Bush's term. I think you'll find that the accrued debt nearly doubled during Bush's eight years. The debt at the end of fiscal 1992 was $4 trillion, and at the end of fiscal 2000 $5.6 trillion. The debt at the end of fiscal 2008 was $9.7 trillion. The annual budget deficit, however, is another thing, the difference between each year's outlays and receipts. There were budget surpluses at the ends of fiscal 1998-2001. There was a deficit in excess of $400 billion in Bush's final year. No sleight of hand, Four Clinton surpluses, eight Bush deficits, all documented by OMB's past and present. Get the two straight. It's all in the Office of Management and Budget tables. Deficits as well as debt.

http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/Historicals/


Looks like JW loses another one.

How many is that now?


Mark Silva, you completely missed the point. First, JW’s post had nothing to do with Bush. Second, I've seen JW post on the debt/deficit distinction and he is quite aware of it. From your response, I'm not sure you are. What he is saying is that it is fiscal sleight of hand for the federal government to claim in a fiscal year a budget "surplus", when in that fiscal year the overall public debt increased. The public debt increased every year of the Clinton Presidency, including the so-called “surplus” years. How does that happen?


* * * * *
Posted by: Mark Silva | September 22, 2009 3:54 PM
.
I’m not mixing up anything, Mr. Silva. I know the difference between the debt and a deficit. In fact, the Democrats have materially contributed to the public’s confusion over the difference between the debt and a deficit by crowing about Clinton’s so-called budget surpluses. I’ve seen posts in the Swamp where people have claimed that Bush took us from a “surplus” to $10 trillion into debt - as if Bush was responsible for the whole $10 trillion. That’s confused, now isn’t it?
.
Back to the point: A budget running a surplus isn’t supposed to add to the debt. It will either be debt neutral or pay down the debt. So, if Clinton ever had a true budget surplus, then one must go begging for a reason why the debt continued to increase during those same periods. The fact that more money was spent than taken in - every single year he was in office - means that his budget surpluses weren’t real surpluses. That a single fiscal year’s budget could be classified as a “surplus” while adding to the debt is what I call creative accounting - a.k.a. - lying.
.
Alternatively, even if it’s appropriate to call a budget a “surplus” while it still contributes to the debt, then what good is it? To find merit in a budget “surplus” when the budget runs us into debt is truly to exalt form over substance.


* * * * *
Posted by: Herbie H. | September 22, 2009 4:14 PM
.
You nailed it, Herbie - as usual.


Ya think maybe the debt service, payments each year sufficient to run a few branches of the armed forces, aren't keeping up with the accrued debt? I hope your wife handles your checkbook, JW. You and Herbie keep talking to each other. And never mind the numbers, they're only real.


And John W. continues getting publicly depantsed.

Bravo Mark Silva.



Silva, you suggest a couple vague possibilities, with no citations, as to why people at the time claimed a surplus, when we were really going further into debt. That may excuse people at the time for claiming a surplus, but it does not excuse you in continuing to do so knowing what we know now. We know now that the country went further into debt every year of the Clinton Administration. Do you dispute that? Here's a link:

-------

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt.htm

-------

If you admit that, and I don't know how you couldn't, don't you think it is just a tad misleading to claim Clinton left the country with a "surplus", when in fact the country went deeper into debt every year of his presidency?


* * * * *
Posted by: Mark Silva | September 22, 2009 5:49 PM
.
If failure to adequately pay the debt service was the cause of the increased debt, then those budgets weren’t debt or deficit neutral. Paying the debt service is required part of the budget. If you are trying to sell me on the idea the federal government could have a “budget surplus” for not adequately paying its bills - so that they add to the debt - then I think you are trying to play me in a fool’s game.
.
However you cut it, it is both conceptually and realistically foolish to say one has a “surplus” (i.e. more than one needed to do the job) by ignoring indebtedness. That’s like someone saying he’s got a surplus one month because he hasn’t paid his house or car payment. If you can’t see that, then I hope your wife controls the check book.


I do the checkbook.


This chart on the national debt says a lot. JW, the national debt is the accumulated debt due to budget deficits.

http://zfacts.com/p/318.html

Looks pretty clear to me. Up with the Repubs, down with the Dems. since WWII.

Anybody remember;
'Reagan proved deficits don't matter',
or, 'We hit the trifecta', ??

Late in ClintonTime, we had the opportunity to pay down the national debt by a large margin. The American people, early in the Bush years wanted to continue this, and in fact opposed all the Bush tax cuts so this could be accomplished.
Bush and the Repubs put an end to it, passing tax cuts in spite of it.
Talk about a historic missed opportunity.

I do the check book, and quite well.


HH, JD, Terry, somebody!
One of you guys, talk JW in off the ledge!


John and Herbie-

The difference is "off budget" items like natural disasters and certain military operations. Because they are unforseen events, they cannot be included in the budget. The budgets did produce a surplus, however the unforseeable spending exceeded the surplus amount.

Do you budget the costs of a car accident that you may have next month when you do your household budget?


Silva,

Let's get the record straight. In 1995, Clinton's budget called for $200 billion deficits for as far the eye could see. It was Speaker Gingrich and the GOP Congress that brought Clinton to the balanced budget.

As far as deficits go, what do you think of you hero BO's $9,000,000,000,000 projected deficit?

Bush probably would have payed down the deficit if his predecesor hadn't punted a terrorism issue down the road.


* * * * *
Posted by: It's simple, really. | September 22, 2009 10:12 PM
.
You know, I keep forgetting that you guys think its okay for the federal government to engage in unconstitutional spending and accounting practices to juggle the books to make a budget produce a “surplus” when there really is none. I don’t. I think it reflects dishonesty toward the general public.
.
According to the Constitution there shouldn’t be any such thing as an expenditure “off budget.” It all has to show up in Congress’ number crunching. Take a look at Article I, Section 9, Clause 7 of the Constitution. It states:
.
“No Money shall be drawn from the Treasury, but in Consequence of Appropriations made by Law; and a regular Statement and Account of the Receipts and Expenditures of all public Money shall be published from time to time.”
.
That looks pretty clear to me. No allocations of money are permitted unless authorized by a LAW (i.e. the concurrence of the House and Senate and Signed by the President pursuant to Article I, Section 7.) The “off-budget” part is explicitly nixed by the second part of Clause 7 inasmuch as it requires a Statement and Account of the Receipts (i.e. tax revenues) and Expenditures (self explanatory) of ALL public Money. All means all. Spending public money on an “off-budget” item is forbidden if it is to remain unrepresented in the required Statement and Account of Receipts and Expenditures.
.
Even if I grant you the questionable premise that the government can legitimately work “off-budget” the way you suggest, I only hear a theories as to how that worked during the Clinton years. What proof is there that such off-budget spending actually occurred, especially when we don’t have congressional accounting for it? I’m not interested in theories. I want facts.
.
And, again, I must question the validity of the claim that a budget really produces a “surplus” when the figures involved are underreported. This is the kind of accounting that sends real people to jail if they work in the private sector. We see the same kind of data manipulation by the federal government in everything from unemployment statistics to cost estimates. It’s shameful and deceitful.
.
And, yes, I do “budget the costs of a car accident that [I] may have next month when [I] do [my] household budget.” It’s called my car insurance payment.


"The modern death-wish media is distinguished more by what it DOESN'T write about, than what it DOES....."
Got that RIGHT, Bruce.
Although, it cannot be a coincidence that as Mark reported; Obama goes golfing with a New York Times reporter with a book out about global warming and two days later, surprise, surprise, surprise! BO gives a big speech about global warming. Change my donkey's ass. Golfing buddy's, backroom deals. Lawyers fight out the details...if this is change, OH PLEASE! Wake UP! This is Chicago on a national level, right Mark?


John W. so you think \the Federal government has insurance againtst natural disasters? They are the insurance.

Also contrary to your statements about the Constituion, the costs for natural disasters are funded through laws. Congress acts to fund the costs through supplemental spending bills at the time of the emergency, and are there after fully accounted for. I'm sorry if I didn't point that our in my original post. I assumed anyone who had gotten through middle school civics would have know that.


Here's one example. of that spending, and the associated legislation, from that btime period
http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900sid/OCHA-64BQVE?OpenDocument

Facts. Not theories. Facts. It's amazing what you can learn if you stop ranting and start readingl.


* * * * *
Posted by: It's simple, really. | September 23, 2009 9:42 AM
.
I know that stuff like natural disasters are funded through acts of Congress. The way you made it sound, however, one would think that the President simply appropriates (or ought to appropriate) the money to apply to a disaster - sort of the way Duh’bya and Obama have been funding the bailout of the Auto manufacturers after Congress refused to do so. That, by the way, was (and is) unconstitutional for the reasons already given.
.
And, no, I never said - or even suggested - the United States has insurance against natural disasters. You asked ME if I include the cost of a car accident in my monthly budget, and it just happened that I do through paying car insurance. You just picked a bad question to illustrate whatever point you were trying to make.
.
And, what’s more, upon doing a little more research I have discovered that so-called “off-budget” items are actually included in calculating the “surplus” or “deficit” for a single year - at least some of the time. In which case, your theory - that “off-budget” items drove up the debt while the budget rendered a surplus - doesn’t work unless you can also prove the costs of natural disaster relief or unforeseen military excursions were, in fact, not included in the deficit-surplus calculation.
.
But if you prove the non-inclusion of those expenses, you have still proven my other point - i.e., that data manipulation makes the government’s budgeting practices and reports unworthy of consideration as accurate. We call that “cooking the books” in the private sector. If we are to have any confidence in our government, those charged with reporting its operations must be honest and stop manipulating the budget numbers to play politics. An honest budget calculation has to include all costs and liabilities. If the debt increases during a fiscal year, it is ludicrous for the government to proclaim that we have had a “surplus.” Explain to your son or daughter that the family had a “surplus” in its budget after having to raid their piggy bank to make ends meet. Indeed it is farcical for the government to use the word “surplus” to describe any year’s budget as long as it is facing many trillions of dollars in debt.


Scoreboard Update:

Mark Silva et al: 30

John W: -10


John W, since you are making the accusation of malfeasance, I think it's incumbent on YOU to prove it and provide the documentation. I really don't have the time or the inclination to disprove your paranoid assumptions false any further than I already have. I suspect that no amount of documentation I could possibly provide would suffice to make you believe that you are wrong in any way.

However, I will end up by pointing out that in your last sentence you do confuse the topics of deficits and overall debt , as was suggested about you earlier. I would recommend that you educate yourself further on these topics before you attempt to discuss them again. I'm sure there is a public library close to where you live that would be more than happy to help you find the materials and information you need.


It's simple,
Only JW would assign you the task of disproving one of his negatives.
Debating with JW is a huge waste of time and pixels.


“It’s simple, really”,

Your posts prove nothing, nor do they refute anything JW or I said. The 800 lb. gorilla you refuse to acknowledge is that regardless of what Congress thought the fiscal year deficits/surpluses were going to be in any given year of the Clinton Presidency, we in fact went deeper into debt each year. I posted a link to the yearly breakdown of the national debt above.

You seem to imply that when looking back at these years, we should ignore “off budget” items that may have pushed the claimed surpluses into de facto deficits. I guess we could do that, and continue to pretend the Clinton Administration left surpluses. Or we can talk about what really happened, and that is that we went further into debt every year of his Administration. To not talk about “off budget” items is silly. That is real money, it was incurred in a fiscal year, and will have to be paid back with interest. JW had an excellent analogy of a person claiming a monthly “surplus”, but only because he didn’t pay his mortgage that month. If you want to continue to engage in this type of fiction, that we had a “surplus” in any fiscal year when in fact we went deeper into debt in that same fiscal year, be my guest.


My posts are not knocks on Clinton. As Terry pointed out, Clinton contemplated deficits of about 200 billion a year in 1995 for the next five years, but quickly had to scrap that because of the GOP takeover of Congress. After that point, he was fiscally responsible and deserves credit, with the provisos that his agenda was blocked and the federal government benefited in the short term from increased tax receipts during the buildup of the dot com bubble. As such, my knock is not against Clinton, but rather against people who try to exaggerate his legacy.


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